Zisis Chatzistravos
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Zisis Chatzistravos's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.06x the positional average in the league (538 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 2.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €132k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 538 (23% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.42
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 2 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1129
- Opponent strength
- 1287
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €209k – €504k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 29 pts; changed club; league level up (+40 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -21% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 538 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Athlitiki Enosi Larisas | Super League 1 | AM | 17 | 538 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.42 | 1287 | 1129 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panserraikos Serres | Super League 1 | AM | 22 | 1224 | 52% | 2 | 2 | 0.29 | 0.48 | 1289 | 1141 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Panserraikos Serres | Super League 1 | AM | 18 | 1065 | 46% | 2 | 3 | 0.42 | 0.56 | 1257 | 1189 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | PAS Lamia 1964 | Super League 1 | AM | 7 | 256 | 11% | 0 | 1 | 0.35 | 0.61 | 1339 | 1167 | 0.39 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Larisas | 2 | 112 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panserraikos Serres | 2 | 55 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Panserraikos Serres | 2 | 70 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Lamia 1964 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis Garoufalias Super League 1 · 2019 | 26 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Ilmari Niskanen Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 26 | €325k | €325k | flat |
| Mehdi Boudjemaa Super Lig · 2024 | 26 | €550k | €550k | flat |
| Samúel Fridjónsson Super League 1 · 2024 | 28 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Paul Cairney Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 27 | €450k | €350k | fell |
| Rocco Quinn Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 29 | €375k | €225k | fell |
| Nicolai Poulsen Superliga · 2018 | 25 | €500k | €650k | rose |
| Daniel Redmond Scottish Premiership · 2018 | 27 | €250k | €250k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2025 | Panserraikos | AE Larisa | Free / loan | €500k |
| 28 Jul 2023 | PAOK Saloniki B | Panserraikos | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | PAOK | PAOK Saloniki B | Unknown | €350k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | PAS Lamia | PAOK | Free / loan | €350k |
| 8 Sept 2020 | PAOK | PAS Lamia | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2020 | AE Karaiskakis | PAOK | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Aug 2019 | PAOK | AE Karaiskakis | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | PAOK U19 | PAOK | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | PAOK U17 | PAOK U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.