Dimitris Emmanouilidis

25 yrs · Left winger · Greece
A.G.S Asteras Tripolis · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 175 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€500k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€187k – €673k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€341k – €549k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€332k – €701k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€331k – €361k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€187k – €673k
Model value (performance-implied)€341k – €549k
Projected value (24 months)€332k – €701k
Dashed line: current market value (€500k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Dimitris Emmanouilidis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.83x the positional average in the league (1108 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 95

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average5.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.7 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €277k vs market €500k
Expected appreciationNeutral+2% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €800k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1108 (47% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.16
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.34
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
5 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1138
Opponent strength
1294
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€332k – €701k

Trajectory drivers: changed club.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -14% (IQR -18% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1108 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
19 (ATT)
Relative output kept
99%–112%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
47%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26A.G.S Asteras TripolisSuper League 1LW21110847%110.160.34129411380.43
2024/25Vejle BoldklubSuperligaLW19118960%300.230.40131510830.38
2023/24Vejle BoldklubSuperligaLW428714%100.310.56130911740.48
2021/22Vejle BoldklubSuperligaLW1760931%210.440.55130811450.45
2020/21Panathinaikos Athlitikos OmilosSuper League 1LW71999%110.900.45125913620.39
2020/21Fortuna Sittardia CombinatieEredivisieLW6803%101.130.57131412620.56
2019/20Panionios AthensSuper League 1LW1788838%400.410.56129711470.46
2018/19Panathinaikos Athlitikos OmilosSuper League 1LW1127110%211.000.60129313060.43

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasA.G.S Asteras Tripolis524030—
2024/25Oddset PokalenVejle Boldklub17410—
2021/22Oddset PokalenVejle Boldklub522912—
2019/20Kypello ElladasPanionios Athens436721—
2018/19Kypello ElladasPanathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos526120—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Bruce Anderson
Scottish Premiership · 2023
25€600k€500kflat
Frederico Duarte
Super League 1 · 2023
24€500k€500kflat
Lenny Nangis
Super League 1 · 2019
25€450k€400kflat
Julien Ngoy
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
25€900k€750kflat
Imed Louati
Superliga · 2020
27€300k€300kflat
Ross Stewart
Scottish Premiership · 2021
25€500k€2.8Mrose
Sito
Super League 1 · 2023
27€450k€350kfell
Jean-Baptiste Léo
Super League 1 · 2021
25€350k€175kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025Vejle BKAsteras AktorFree / loan€500k
24 Jul 2021PanathinaikosVejle BK€400k€700k
30 Jun 2021Fortuna SittardPanathinaikosFree / loan€700k
1 Feb 2021PanathinaikosFortuna SittardFree / loan€700k
30 Jun 2020PanioniosPanathinaikosFree / loan€525k
21 Aug 2019PanathinaikosPanioniosFree / loan€600k
1 Jul 2018PAO U19PanathinaikosUnknown€300k

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.