
Dimitris Emmanouilidis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dimitris Emmanouilidis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.83x the positional average in the league (1108 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 95
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 5.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €277k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1108 (47% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.16
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.34
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 5 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1138
- Opponent strength
- 1294
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €332k – €701k
Trajectory drivers: changed club.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -14% (IQR -18% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1108 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | LW | 21 | 1108 | 47% | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.34 | 1294 | 1138 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Vejle Boldklub | Superliga | LW | 19 | 1189 | 60% | 3 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.40 | 1315 | 1083 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | Vejle Boldklub | Superliga | LW | 4 | 287 | 14% | 1 | 0 | 0.31 | 0.56 | 1309 | 1174 | 0.48 |
| 2021/22 | Vejle Boldklub | Superliga | LW | 17 | 609 | 31% | 2 | 1 | 0.44 | 0.55 | 1308 | 1145 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | LW | 7 | 199 | 9% | 1 | 1 | 0.90 | 0.45 | 1259 | 1362 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | LW | 6 | 80 | 3% | 1 | 0 | 1.13 | 0.57 | 1314 | 1262 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | Panionios Athens | Super League 1 | LW | 17 | 888 | 38% | 4 | 0 | 0.41 | 0.56 | 1297 | 1147 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | LW | 11 | 271 | 10% | 2 | 1 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1293 | 1306 | 0.43 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 5 | 240 | 3 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Vejle Boldklub | 1 | 74 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | Vejle Boldklub | 5 | 229 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Panionios Athens | 4 | 367 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 5 | 261 | 2 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Anderson Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 25 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Frederico Duarte Super League 1 · 2023 | 24 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Lenny Nangis Super League 1 · 2019 | 25 | €450k | €400k | flat |
| Julien Ngoy Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 25 | €900k | €750k | flat |
| Imed Louati Superliga · 2020 | 27 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Ross Stewart Scottish Premiership · 2021 | 25 | €500k | €2.8M | rose |
| Sito Super League 1 · 2023 | 27 | €450k | €350k | fell |
| Jean-Baptiste Léo Super League 1 · 2021 | 25 | €350k | €175k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Vejle BK | Asteras Aktor | Free / loan | €500k |
| 24 Jul 2021 | Panathinaikos | Vejle BK | €400k | €700k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Fortuna Sittard | Panathinaikos | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Feb 2021 | Panathinaikos | Fortuna Sittard | Free / loan | €700k |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Panionios | Panathinaikos | Free / loan | €525k |
| 21 Aug 2019 | Panathinaikos | Panionios | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | PAO U19 | Panathinaikos | Unknown | €300k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.