Christopher Operi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Christopher Operi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-3.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-2.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 25
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 43th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -59% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1824 (60% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.20
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.22
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 43 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1357
- Opponent strength
- 1262
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.2M – €2.8M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level down (-106 Elo); role change LM -> LB; relative output up 57% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -32% (IQR -34% to -27%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 50 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–191%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 54%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | LB | 22 | 1824 | 60% | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | 0.22 | 1262 | 1357 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | LM | 13 | 1170 | 38% | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.22 | 1456 | 1333 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | LB | 11 | 912 | 28% | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 1303 | 1286 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | LB | 28 | 2447 | 80% | 3 | 5 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 1493 | 1351 | 0.87 |
| 2021/22 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | LM | 9 | 564 | 18% | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 1280 | 1420 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Basaksehir FK | 6 | 530 | 2 | 2 | 1346 |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Ivory Coast | 1 | 90 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Ivory Coast | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | KAA Gent | 3 | 242 | 0 | 0 | 1377 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serdar Aziz Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €2.5M | €1.7M | fell |
| Florent Hadergjonaj Super Lig · 2024 | 30 | €2.0M | €1.8M | flat |
| Kenneth Omeruo Super Lig · 2024 | 31 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Ehsan Hajsafi Super League 1 · 2018 | 28 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Guillermo Varela Premier Liga · 2022 | 29 | €2.5M | €1.7M | fell |
| Milad Mohammadi Super League 1 · 2022 | 29 | €2.0M | €1.3M | fell |
| Konstantinos Laifis Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 29 | €2.2M | €1.5M | fell |
| Jure Balkovec Super Lig · 2023 | 29 | €2.2M | €1.2M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2025 | Le Havre AC | Basaksehir | €1.3M | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | KAA Gent | Le Havre AC | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | LB Châteauroux | KAA Gent | Free / loan | €600k |
| 24 Jul 2017 | SM Caen B | LB Châteauroux | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jul 2015 | SM Caen U19 | SM Caen B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | SM Caen U17 | SM Caen U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.