Koffi Kouao
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Koffi Kouao's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-3.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 75
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 48.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.5M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2274 (74% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.16
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.22
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 48 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1225
- Opponent strength
- 1483
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €957k – €2.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -14% (IQR -32% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | RB | 27 | 2274 | 74% | 2 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.22 | 1483 | 1225 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | RB | 13 | 863 | 28% | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 1480 | 1284 | 0.87 |
| 2021/22 | FC Vizela | Liga Portugal | RB | 24 | 1895 | 62% | 2 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 1379 | 1252 | 0.67 |
| 2017/18 | Moreirense FC | Liga Portugal | RB | 9 | 434 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1368 | 1281 | 0.64 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludovic Baal Ligue 1 · 2015 | 29 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Marco Meyerhöfer Bundesliga · 2022 | 27 | €2.0M | €800k | fell |
| Jean-Charles Castelletto Ligue 1 · 2024 | 29 | €3.5M | €3.2M | flat |
| Oussama Haddadi Ligue 1 · 2019 | 27 | €3.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Jens Stryger Serie A · 2018 | 27 | €2.0M | €2.8M | rose |
| Bram Nuytinck Serie A · 2018 | 28 | €2.8M | €2.8M | flat |
| Vital Nsimba Ligue 1 · 2022 | 29 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Kevin Van Den Kerkhof Ligue 1 · 2024 | 28 | €3.0M | €1.8M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | FC Metz | Without Club | Unknown | €2.5M |
| 12 Aug 2022 | Vizela | FC Metz | €600k | €1.5M |
| 1 Mar 2019 | Famalicão | Vizela | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 9 Jul 2018 | Vizela | Famalicão | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Moreirense | Vizela | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Vizela | Moreirense | Free / loan | €75k |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Vizela Y19 | Vizela | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Mimosas U19 | Vizela Y19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.