Klisman Cake
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Klisman Cake's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-2.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 33
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 31.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -26% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1075 (40% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 32 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1279
- Opponent strength
- 1356
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €685k – €2.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -39% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1075 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 48%–200%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | Premier Liga | CB | 12 | 1075 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 1356 | 1279 | 0.56 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Shkendija Tetovo | 6 | 570 | 0 | 1 | 1362 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Shkendija Tetovo | 2 | 202 | 0 | 0 | 1452 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerică Găman Super Lig · 2017 | 28 | €1.2M | €875k | fell |
| Andy Considine Scottish Premiership · 2013 | 26 | €1.0M | €650k | fell |
| Igor Kalinin Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €900k | €700k | fell |
| Luis Segovia Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Giannis Zaradoukas Super League 1 · 2013 | 28 | €900k | €450k | fell |
| Rayan Senhadji Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €900k | €900k | flat |
| Marco Bürki Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 27 | €1.2M | €250k | fell |
| Gastón Campi Liga Portugal · 2019 | 28 | €1.5M | €1.2M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Shkendija | Akhmat Grozny | €400k | €700k |
| 10 Jan 2022 | Struga | Shkendija | €80k | €400k |
| 9 Aug 2019 | KF Tirana | Struga | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Feb 2017 | KF Tirana U19 | KF Tirana | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | KF Tirana U17 | KF Tirana U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Tirana U15 | KF Tirana U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Tirana Yth. | Tirana U15 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.