
Angelos Liasos
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Angelos Liasos's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.72x the positional average in the league (1151 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 93
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 3.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €158k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1151 (49% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 3 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1104
- Opponent strength
- 1270
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €150k – €377k
Trajectory drivers: league level up (+40 Elo); relative output down 38% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -6% (IQR -16% to +8%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1151 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panserraikos Serres | Super League 1 | DM | 17 | 1151 | 49% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1270 | 1104 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panserraikos Serres | Super League 1 | DM | 18 | 869 | 37% | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 1236 | 1141 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | DM | 14 | 770 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1314 | 1131 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | DM | 18 | 850 | 36% | 2 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 1288 | 1182 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | DM | 18 | 818 | 35% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1252 | 1248 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | DM | 19 | 592 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1317 | 1197 | 0.39 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panserraikos Serres | 1 | 85 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panserraikos Serres | 2 | 110 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Giannina | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Giannina | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Giannina | 5 | 205 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Brown Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 25 | €325k | €325k | flat |
| Jack Ipalibo Super League 1 · 2024 | 26 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Taras Zaviyskyi Premier Liga · 2021 | 26 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Cammy MacPherson Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 25 | €400k | €350k | flat |
| Klodian Gjino Super League 1 · 2019 | 25 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Radomir Milosavljevic Super League 1 · 2018 | 26 | €350k | €475k | rose |
| Rasmus Vinderslev Superliga · 2022 | 25 | €300k | €600k | rose |
| Lehlogonolo Masalesa Super League 1 · 2017 | 25 | €350k | €300k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2024 | PAS Giannina | Panserraikos | Free / loan | €300k |
| 12 Feb 2018 | PAS U20 | PAS Giannina | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.