Dmytro Semenov
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dmytro Semenov's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 77
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 6.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €265k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -13% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2206 (82% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 7 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1070
- Opponent strength
- 1179
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €211k – €478k
Trajectory drivers: changed club.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -12% (IQR -25% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Obolon Kyiv | Premier Liga | CB | 28 | 2206 | 82% | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 1179 | 1070 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Livyi Bereg Kyiv | Premier Liga | CB | 24 | 1904 | 71% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 1204 | 1040 | 0.28 |
| 2022/23 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | DM | 8 | 650 | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1330 | 1236 | 0.38 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Obolon Kyiv | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Livyi Bereg Kyiv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladyslav Pryimak Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Jordan McGhee Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 28 | €350k | €100k | fell |
| Ilya Putrya Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Georgios Kornezos Super League 1 · 2023 | 25 | €400k | €350k | flat |
| Yevgeniy Shevchenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €300k | €400k | rose |
| Frederik Möller Superliga · 2020 | 27 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Alex Iacovitti Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 26 | €450k | €400k | flat |
| Petro Stasyuk Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €500k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2025 | Livyi Bereg | Obolon | Free / loan | €300k |
| 2 Aug 2024 | Kryvbas | Livyi Bereg | Free / loan | €100k |
| 24 Jul 2021 | Oleksandriya II | Kryvbas | Free / loan | €75k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Kremin | Oleksandriya II | Free / loan | €75k |
| 2 Mar 2021 | Oleksandriya II | Kremin | Free / loan | €75k |
| 31 Dec 2020 | Albatroz/Jelgava | Oleksandriya II | Free / loan | €75k |
| 1 Mar 2020 | Oleksandriya II | Jelgava | Free / loan | €25k |
| 31 Dec 2019 | MFC Mykolaiv | Oleksandriya II | Free / loan | €25k |
| 26 Jul 2019 | Oleksandriya II | MFC Mykolaiv | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Dnipro | Oleksandriya II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 7 Jul 2017 | Dnipro II | Dnipro | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Dnipro U19 | Dnipro II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Dnipro U17 | Dnipro U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.