Oleksandr Nazarenko

The model rates Oleksandr Nazarenko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-2.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-2.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.01x the positional average in the league (1514 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1514 (56% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.48

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.41

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

38 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.25 (rank 30)

Team strength (Elo)

1290

Opponent strength

1196

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€1.1M – €2.9M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 16 pts; relative output down 27% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -42% to +67%).

• ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1514 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

18 (ATT)

Relative output kept

87%–104%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

94%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.