Levi García
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Levi García's performance-implied value at EUR 1.3M-4.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.6M-7.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.0M-5.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.06x the positional average in the league (845 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 54.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €5.5M vs market €7.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -54% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 845 (31% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.85
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.54
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 54 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1443
- Opponent strength
- 1320
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.0M – €5.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 33 pts; changed club; league level up (+68 Elo); relative output up 75% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -63% to -39%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 845 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 50%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FK Spartak Moskva | Premier Liga | ST | 25 | 845 | 31% | 5 | 3 | 0.85 | 0.54 | 1320 | 1443 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | ST | 16 | 1117 | 48% | 5 | 2 | 0.56 | 0.36 | 1246 | 1450 | 0.35 |
| 2024/25 | FK Spartak Moskva | Premier Liga | ST | 11 | 630 | 23% | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.25 | 1259 | 1470 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | ST | 12 | 807 | 34% | 11 | 2 | 1.45 | 0.74 | 1271 | 1472 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | ST | 23 | 1690 | 72% | 11 | 4 | 0.80 | 0.62 | 1246 | 1424 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | RW | 23 | 1372 | 59% | 4 | 3 | 0.46 | 0.38 | 1259 | 1349 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | RW | 19 | 1335 | 57% | 4 | 6 | 0.67 | 0.56 | 1277 | 1363 | 0.39 |
| 2017/18 | Excelsior Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LW | 15 | 647 | 21% | 1 | 2 | 0.42 | 0.48 | 1327 | 1267 | 0.59 |
| 2017/18 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | LW | 4 | 64 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 1306 | 1489 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | LW | 17 | 727 | 24% | 1 | 3 | 0.50 | 0.39 | 1389 | 1369 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | LW | 8 | 391 | 13% | 1 | 1 | 0.46 | 0.38 | 1354 | 1460 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | FK Spartak Moskva | 6 | 288 | 2 | 2 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | FK Spartak Moskva | 3 | 265 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 3 | 255 | 5 | 1 | 1297 |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 3 | 147 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 3 | 216 | 0 | 1 | 1594 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 3 | 214 | 1 | 0 | 1557 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 6 | 363 | 4 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 4 | 334 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 170 | 0 | 0 | 1398 |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 5 | 337 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 103 | 0 | 0 | 1535 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1593 |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 53 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 234 | 1 | 1 | 1509 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 175 | 0 | 1 | 1445 |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 116 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 55 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Moses Super Lig · 2019 | 29 | €11.0M | €6.5M | fell |
| Mehdi Carcela-González Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 29 | €3.5M | €2.4M | fell |
| Viktor Fischer Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 28 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Umut Bozok Super Lig · 2023 | 27 | €4.2M | €1.4M | fell |
| Duje Cop Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 28 | €2.5M | €950k | fell |
| Adnan Januzaj Super Lig · 2023 | 28 | €6.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Yevgen Seleznyov Premier Liga · 2015 | 30 | €4.5M | €1.8M | fell |
| Éder Liga Portugal · 2014 | 27 | €8.0M | €5.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2025 | AEK Athens | Spartak Moscow | €18.7M | €15.0M |
| 16 Sept 2020 | B. Jerusalem | AEK Athens | €5.9M | €1.8M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Kiryat Shmona | B. Jerusalem | €600k | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | AZ Alkmaar | Kiryat Shmona | Free / loan | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Excelsior | AZ Alkmaar | Free / loan | €600k |
| 18 Jan 2018 | AZ Alkmaar | Excelsior | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jan 2016 | Central FC | AZ Alkmaar | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | T&TEC SC | Central FC | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.