Kyrylo Dryshlyuk
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kyrylo Dryshlyuk's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.58x the positional average in the league (648 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 4.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €313k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 648 (24% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 4 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1192
- Opponent strength
- 1179
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €234k – €605k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 33 pts; relative output up 39% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -54% to +13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 648 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | CM | 18 | 648 | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1179 | 1192 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | CM | 22 | 1529 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1215 | 1182 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | CM | 12 | 705 | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1286 | 1235 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | CM | 12 | 639 | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1287 | 1284 | 0.38 |
| 2022/23 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | CM | 13 | 432 | 16% | 0 | 2 | 0.42 | 0.23 | 1303 | 1406 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | CM | 14 | 925 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1323 | 1297 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | CM | 4 | 243 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1312 | 1285 | 0.49 |
| 2017/18 | Zirka Kropyvnytskyi | Premier Liga | CM | 12 | 609 | 31% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.22 | 1381 | 1240 | 0.62 |
| 2016/17 | Zirka Kropyvnytskyi | Premier Liga | AM | 7 | 411 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 1288 | 1225 | 0.56 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | 1546 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 54 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 2 | 142 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 2 | 193 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Ukrainian Cup | Zirka Kropyvnytskyi | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hasan Acar Super Lig · 2021 | 27 | €700k | €175k | fell |
| Davor Zdravkovski Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €450k | €500k | flat |
| Jakov Basic Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €500k | €600k | rose |
| Liam Donnelly Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 28 | €350k | €200k | fell |
| Vladyslav Yemets Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €350k | €75k | fell |
| Yevgeniy Smyrnyi Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Isaac Osbourne Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 28 | €350k | €325k | flat |
| Yuriy Vakulko Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €500k | €700k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2023 | FC Oleksandriya | Zorya Lugansk | Free / loan | €500k |
| 31 Dec 2020 | Spartaks | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €250k |
| 6 Mar 2020 | FC Oleksandriya | Spartaks | Free / loan | €300k |
| 3 Sept 2018 | Zirka | FC Oleksandriya | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jan 2017 | FK Zirka II | Zirka | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 14 Oct 2016 | Zirka U19 | FK Zirka II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2016 | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Zirka U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.