
Michel-Ange Balikwisha
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Michel-Ange Balikwisha's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-1.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.2M-3.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-3.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.83x the positional average in the league (583 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 34th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.1M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -31% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 583 (20% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.31
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.37
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 34 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1381
- Opponent strength
- 1424
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.1M – €3.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -47% to +2%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 583 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 4 | 347 | 13% | 1 | 0 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 1424 | 1365 | 0.65 |
| 2025/26 | Celtic FC | Scottish Premiership | LW | 7 | 236 | 8% | 0 | 1 | 0.38 | 0.28 | 1254 | 1406 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 5 | 196 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1331 | 1442 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 23 | 1787 | 66% | 5 | 6 | 0.55 | 0.37 | 1383 | 1492 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 27 | 1876 | 61% | 6 | 1 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 1315 | 1497 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 26 | 1765 | 58% | 4 | 3 | 0.36 | 0.28 | 1348 | 1402 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 26 | 1627 | 53% | 7 | 2 | 0.50 | 0.39 | 1372 | 1392 | 0.55 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 3 | 69 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Celtic FC | 1 | 68 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Celtic FC | 4 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 1524 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Royal Antwerp FC | 5 | 387 | 1 | 0 | 1622 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Royal Antwerp FC | 2 | 180 | 1 | 1 | 1435 |
| 2023/24 | Volkswagen Supercup | Royal Antwerp FC | 1 | 86 | 1 | 0 | 1302 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Royal Antwerp FC | 4 | 229 | 1 | 0 | 1306 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Royal Antwerp FC | 2 | 210 | 0 | 2 | 1439 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Royal Antwerp FC | 3 | 145 | 1 | 0 | 1467 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Standard Liège | 4 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1533 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Standard Liège | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1255 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sotiris Ninis Super League 1 · 2016 | 26 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Eden Karzev Super Lig · 2024 | 24 | €1.8M | €1.8M | flat |
| Guillermo Celis Liga Portugal · 2017 | 24 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Koji Miyoshi Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 24 | €2.0M | €2.2M | flat |
| Stephane Omeonga Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 23 | €1.8M | €600k | fell |
| Aaron Tshibola Scottish Premiership · 2018 | 23 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Xadas Liga Portugal · 2020 | 23 | €2.8M | €1.5M | fell |
| Bernard Mensah Liga Portugal · 2017 | 23 | €1.5M | €2.3M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2025 | Royal Antwerp | Celtic | €5.2M | €7.0M |
| 4 Jul 2021 | Standard Liège | Royal Antwerp | €5.0M | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Standard U21 | Standard Liège | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Standard U18 | Standard U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Standard U17 | Standard U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Standard Yth | Standard U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Anderlecht Yth. | Standard Yth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.