Michel-Ange Balikwisha

25 yrs · Left winger (also AM) · DR Congo
Royal Antwerp FC · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 178 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€3.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.2M – €3.5M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€776k – €1.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.1M – €3.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.7M – €563k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.2M – €3.5M
Model value (performance-implied)€776k – €1.8M
Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €3.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Michel-Ange Balikwisha's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-1.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.2M-3.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-3.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.83x the positional average in the league (583 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceBelow average34th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.1 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €2.1M vs market €3.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-31% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €11.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
583 (20% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.31
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.37
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
34 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1381
Opponent strength
1424
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.1M – €3.5M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -47% to +2%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 583 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
60 (MID)
Relative output kept
63%–142%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
72%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Royal Antwerp FCJupiler Pro LeagueAM434713%100.260.37142413650.65
2025/26Celtic FCScottish PremiershipLW72368%010.380.28125414060.31
2024/25Royal Antwerp FCJupiler Pro LeagueLW51967%000.000.25133114420.63
2023/24Royal Antwerp FCJupiler Pro LeagueLW23178766%560.550.37138314920.63
2022/23Royal Antwerp FCJupiler Pro LeagueLW27187661%610.340.28131514970.58
2021/22Royal Antwerp FCJupiler Pro LeagueLW26176558%430.360.28134814020.49
2020/21Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueLW26162753%720.500.39137213920.55

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Africa Cup Of NationsDemocratic Republic of the Congo36900—
2025/26Scottish Fa CupCeltic FC16800—
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueCeltic FC453001524
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueRoyal Antwerp FC5387101622
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingRoyal Antwerp FC2180111435
2023/24Volkswagen SupercupRoyal Antwerp FC186101302
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingRoyal Antwerp FC4229101306
2021/22Uefa Europa League QualifyingRoyal Antwerp FC2210021439
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueRoyal Antwerp FC3145101467
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueStandard Liège4270001533
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingStandard Liège190001255

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Sotiris Ninis
Super League 1 · 2016
26€1.5M€800kfell
Eden Karzev
Super Lig · 2024
24€1.8M€1.8Mflat
Guillermo Celis
Liga Portugal · 2017
24€2.0M€1.5Mfell
Koji Miyoshi
Jupiler Pro League · 2021
24€2.0M€2.2Mflat
Stephane Omeonga
Scottish Premiership · 2019
23€1.8M€600kfell
Aaron Tshibola
Scottish Premiership · 2018
23€1.5M€800kfell
Xadas
Liga Portugal · 2020
23€2.8M€1.5Mfell
Bernard Mensah
Liga Portugal · 2017
23€1.5M€2.3Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
28 Aug 2025Royal AntwerpCeltic€5.2M€7.0M
4 Jul 2021Standard LiègeRoyal Antwerp€5.0M€5.0M
1 Jul 2020Standard U21Standard LiègeUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2019Standard U18Standard U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2018Standard U17Standard U18UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Standard YthStandard U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Anderlecht Yth.Standard YthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.