Stephane Omeonga

30 yrs · Central midfielder · Belgium
Panserraikos Serres · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 177 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€400k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€86k – €513k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€241k – €479k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€150k – €377k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€272k – €394k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€86k – €513k
Model value (performance-implied)€241k – €479k
Projected value (24 months)€150k – €377k
Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Stephane Omeonga's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.62x the positional average in the league (1593 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 76

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average10.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €209k vs market €400k
Expected appreciationVery low-32% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1593 (68% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.14
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
11 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1104
Opponent strength
1250
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€150k – €377k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -28% (IQR -59% to -5%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1593 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
14 (MID)
Relative output kept
67%–189%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
64%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Panserraikos SerresSuper League 1CM21159368%000.000.14125011040.43
2024/25Panserraikos SerresSuper League 1CM641518%000.000.20125511410.35
2022/23Livingston FCScottish PremiershipCM27167756%000.000.09132911860.40
2021/22Livingston FCScottish PremiershipCM25201868%000.000.08130812780.50
2019/20Hibernian FCScottish PremiershipCM845517%010.200.19128013170.52
2019/20Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueCM31114%000.000.24133412020.63
2018/19Hibernian FCScottish PremiershipCM1056119%010.160.19131713510.44
2018/19Genoa CFCSerie ACM3542%000.000.41167113220.78
2017/18Genoa CFCSerie ACM1978423%000.000.16148113420.86

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasPanserraikos Serres112000—
2021/22Scottish Fa CupLivingston FC217100—
2019/20Scottish Fa CupHibernian FC29210—
2018/19Scottish Fa CupHibernian FC210000—
2018/19Italy CupGenoa CFC18200—
2017/18Italy CupGenoa CFC218000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Soner Dikmen
Super Lig · 2021
28€550k€2.6Mrose
Craig Sibbald
Scottish Premiership · 2023
28€375k€350kflat
Scott Robertson
Scottish Premiership · 2014
29€650k€250kfell
Jim O'Brien
Scottish Premiership · 2018
31€350k€300kflat
Federico Gino
Super League 1 · 2024
31€250k€150kfell
Valeriy Luchkevych
Premier Liga · 2024
28€600k€250kfell
Aron Elís Thrándarson
Superliga · 2022
28€400k€400kflat
Dmytro Kravchenko
Premier Liga · 2023
28€300k€100kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
28 Jan 2025Bnei SakhninPanserraikosFree / loan€400k
1 Jul 2023Livingston FCBnei SakhninFree / loan€400k
28 Aug 2021PescaraLivingston FCFree / loan€600k
10 Sept 2020GenoaPescara€500k€700k
30 Jun 2020Hibernian FCGenoaFree / loan€800k
17 Jan 2020GenoaHibernian FCFree / loan€1.0M
16 Jan 2020Cercle BruggeGenoaFree / loan€1.0M
23 Jul 2019GenoaCercle BruggeFree / loan€1.8M
31 May 2019Hibernian FCGenoaFree / loan€1.8M
21 Jan 2019GenoaHibernian FCFree / loan€1.8M
1 Jul 2017AvellinoGenoa€600k€500k
1 Jul 2016Anderlecht U21Avellino€100kData unavailable
1 Jul 2013Anderlecht U19Anderlecht U21UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Stephane Omeonga · MoneyballAI