Denzel Jubitana
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Denzel Jubitana's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.93x the positional average in the league (1612 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 89
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 18.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €343k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1612 (69% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.28
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.37
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 19 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1237
- Opponent strength
- 1237
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €290k – €776k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 29 pts; league level up (+40 Elo); role change SS -> RW.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -11% (IQR -16% to +4%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1612 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | RW | 26 | 1612 | 69% | 4 | 1 | 0.28 | 0.37 | 1237 | 1237 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | SS | 19 | 936 | 40% | 4 | 0 | 0.38 | 0.55 | 1245 | 1192 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | RW | 21 | 1004 | 43% | 3 | 3 | 0.54 | 0.56 | 1284 | 1205 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | SS | 5 | 37 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.69 | 1321 | 1187 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | SS | 15 | 685 | 26% | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.57 | 1375 | 1187 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 12 | 504 | 19% | 1 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.34 | 1326 | 1276 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 5 | 261 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 1 | 29 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 3 | 221 | 2 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Lawless Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 28 | €400k | €350k | flat |
| Oleg Vyshnevskyi Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Eamonn Brophy Scottish Premiership · 2022 | 26 | €500k | €450k | flat |
| Nikolaos Kaltsas Super League 1 · 2017 | 27 | €700k | €600k | flat |
| Kasper Junker Superliga · 2019 | 25 | €400k | €2.0M | rose |
| Ahmad Mendes Moreira Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Juanma Delgado Super League 1 · 2015 | 25 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Ryan Bowman Scottish Premiership · 2018 | 27 | €275k | €325k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Iraklis | Atromitos | Free / loan | €400k |
| 4 Feb 2022 | Roda JC | Iraklis | Free / loan | €275k |
| 19 Jul 2021 | Without Club | Roda JC | Unknown | €250k |
| 27 Apr 2021 | Waasland-Beveren | Without Club | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | KV Mechelen | Waasland-Beveren | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | KV Mechelen U19 | KV Mechelen | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | KV Mechelen U17 | KV Mechelen U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Lierse SK Yth. | KV Mechelen U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.