Christopher Scott
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Christopher Scott's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-3.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-3.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.08x the positional average in the league (1328 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 27
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 30.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €2.2M vs market €2.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1328 (49% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.20
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.24
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 31 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1365
- Opponent strength
- 1379
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €984k – €3.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -38% to +3%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1328 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | LM | 21 | 1328 | 49% | 2 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.24 | 1379 | 1365 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | LM | 8 | 114 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1417 | 1442 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 1 | 10 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 1373 | 1492 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 18 | 263 | 9% | 1 | 1 | 0.68 | 0.36 | 1322 | 1497 | 0.58 |
| 2020/21 | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | AM | 2 | 32 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1508 | 1898 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Royal Antwerp FC | 10 | 871 | 4 | 1 | 1362 |
| 2023/24 | Volkswagen Supercup | Royal Antwerp FC | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1302 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Royal Antwerp FC | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1398 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Konradsen Ligue 1 · 2014 | 24 | €1.8M | €1.4M | fell |
| Fransérgio Liga Portugal · 2015 | 25 | €1.1M | €2.0M | rose |
| Omar Govea Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 24 | €1.6M | €600k | fell |
| Gabrielzinho Liga Portugal · 2019 | 23 | €800k | €400k | fell |
| Birama Touré Ligue 1 · 2016 | 24 | €1.5M | €1.3M | flat |
| Bart Ramselaar Eredivisie · 2020 | 24 | €2.4M | €3.8M | rose |
| Denis-Will Poha Liga Portugal · 2020 | 23 | €1.2M | €800k | fell |
| David Pavelka Super Lig · 2017 | 26 | €1.8M | €1.6M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2024 | Hannover 96 | Royal Antwerp | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Sept 2023 | Royal Antwerp | Hannover 96 | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | FC Bayern II | Royal Antwerp | €1.4M | €1.2M |
| 1 Jan 2021 | FC Bayern U19 | FC Bayern II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 31 Jan 2020 | Leverkusen U19 | FC Bayern U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Leverkusen U17 | Leverkusen U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Leverkusen Yth. | Leverkusen U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.