Simon Sohm
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Simon Sohm's performance-implied value at EUR 3.5M-9.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.1M-11.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.8M-12.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.58x the positional average in the league (1429 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 38
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 69.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €7.9M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1429 (42% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 69 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1514
- Opponent strength
- 1426
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.8M – €12.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 46 pts; changed club; team strength up (+172 Elo); relative output down 46% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -36% (IQR -45% to -2%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1429 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | CM | 12 | 720 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1426 | 1523 | 0.93 |
| 2025/26 | ACF Fiorentina | Serie A | CM | 16 | 709 | 21% | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 1497 | 1506 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | CM | 37 | 3000 | 88% | 4 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.23 | 1517 | 1342 | 0.99 |
| 2020/21 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | CM | 18 | 892 | 26% | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.21 | 1539 | 1252 | 0.90 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | ACF Fiorentina | 2 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 1214 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 3 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1576 |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Parma Calcio 1913 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Parma Calcio 1913 | 3 | 192 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Skov Bundesliga · 2021 | 25 | €10.0M | €6.5M | fell |
| Angelo Fulgini Ligue 1 · 2023 | 27 | €9.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| William Bundesliga · 2020 | 25 | €11.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Andrea Bertolacci Serie A · 2016 | 25 | €12.0M | €7.5M | fell |
| Younès Belhanda Bundesliga · 2016 | 26 | €7.5M | €7.0M | flat |
| Andrea Poli Serie A · 2014 | 25 | €10.0M | €5.5M | fell |
| Calvin Stengs Ligue 1 · 2022 | 24 | €13.0M | €15.0M | flat |
| Pablo Rosario Ligue 1 · 2023 | 26 | €6.0M | €8.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Bologna | Fiorentina | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 22 Jan 2026 | Fiorentina | Bologna | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 4 Aug 2025 | Parma | Fiorentina | €15.0M | €5.0M |
| 4 Oct 2020 | FC Zürich | Parma | €6.4M | €1.1M |
| 2 Jul 2018 | FC Zürich U18 | FC Zürich | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | FC Zürich U16 | FC Zürich U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | FC Zürich Yth. | FC Zürich U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.