Rocky Bushiri

26 yrs · Centre-back · DR Congo
Hibernian FC · Scottish Premiership · Foot: right · Height: 187 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 31 May 2028
Market value
€1.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€396k – €1.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.2M – €2.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€467k – €1.4M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€115k – €1.9M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€396k – €1.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €2.3M
Projected value (24 months)€467k – €1.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Rocky Bushiri's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-2.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 69

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage51.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.6 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €689k vs market €1.0M
Expected appreciationLow-18% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.31
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.2M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1982 (67% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.14
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.10
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
51 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.31 (rank 26)
Team strength (Elo)
1281
Opponent strength
1196
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€467k – €1.4M

Trajectory drivers: relative output down 32% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -22% (IQR -36% to -8%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
16 (DEF)
Relative output kept
90%–275%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
75%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Hibernian FCScottish PremiershipCB23198267%300.140.10119612800.31
2024/25Hibernian FCScottish PremiershipCB23193065%310.190.14124813030.34
2023/24Hibernian FCScottish PremiershipCB22178460%000.000.03123612000.34
2022/23Hibernian FCScottish PremiershipCB14118640%000.000.03134712370.40
2021/22Hibernian FCScottish PremiershipCB12100934%000.000.03135612830.50
2020/21KV MechelenJupiler Pro LeagueCB651217%000.000.04141113650.55
2020/21KAS EupenJupiler Pro LeagueCB1732%000.000.06132712850.55
2019/20Sint-Truidense VVJupiler Pro LeagueCB754821%000.000.06138613140.63
2018/19KAS EupenJupiler Pro LeagueCB23194972%000.000.03135212530.65
2017/18KV OostendeJupiler Pro LeagueCB21656%000.000.06137113860.63

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingHibernian FC4420111393
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingHibernian FC2210101391
2025/26Africa Cup Of NationsDemocratic Republic of the Congo19000—
2025/26Scottish Fa CupHibernian FC19000—
2024/25Scottish Fa CupHibernian FC322510—
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingHibernian FC5266001419
2023/24Scottish Fa CupHibernian FC19000—
2022/23Scottish Fa CupHibernian FC19000—
2021/22Scottish Fa CupHibernian FC19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Kye Rowles
Scottish Premiership · 2023
25€1.2M€1.2Mflat
Burak Bekaroğlu
Super Lig · 2022
25€900k€300kfell
Ousmane Coulibaly
Super League 1 · 2015
26€1.3M€1.0Mfell
Danylo Beskorovaynyi
Premier Liga · 2024
25€900k€600kfell
Teenage Hadebe
Super Lig · 2021
26€850k€2.0Mrose
Manolis Tzanakakis
Super League 1 · 2019
27€600k€350kfell
Andriy Ponedelnik
Premier Liga · 2024
27€900k€800kflat
Robbie Deas
Scottish Premiership · 2024
24€650k€500kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2022NorwichHibernian FCUnknown€500k
31 May 2022Hibernian FCNorwichFree / loan€600k
10 Jan 2022NorwichHibernian FCFree / loan€600k
30 Jun 2021KAS EupenNorwichFree / loan€600k
26 Jan 2021NorwichKAS EupenFree / loan€700k
25 Jan 2021KV MechelenNorwichFree / loan€700k
1 Jul 2020NorwichKV MechelenFree / loan€1.0M
30 Jun 2020Sint-TruidenNorwichFree / loan€1.0M
7 Jan 2020NorwichSint-TruidenFree / loan€1.2M
6 Jan 2020BlackpoolNorwichFree / loan€1.2M
1 Aug 2019NorwichBlackpoolFree / loan€1.2M
8 Jul 2019KV OostendeNorwichUnknown€1.2M
30 Jun 2019KAS EupenKV OostendeFree / loan€1.2M
22 Aug 2018KV OostendeKAS EupenFree / loan€300k
1 Jul 2017KV Oostende U21KV OostendeUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.