
Rocky Bushiri
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Rocky Bushiri's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-2.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 69
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 51.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €689k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -18% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1982 (67% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.14
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 51 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1281
- Opponent strength
- 1196
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €467k – €1.4M
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 32% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -22% (IQR -36% to -8%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 16 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 90%–275%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 75%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Hibernian FC | Scottish Premiership | CB | 23 | 1982 | 67% | 3 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 1196 | 1280 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | Hibernian FC | Scottish Premiership | CB | 23 | 1930 | 65% | 3 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 1248 | 1303 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | Hibernian FC | Scottish Premiership | CB | 22 | 1784 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1236 | 1200 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Hibernian FC | Scottish Premiership | CB | 14 | 1186 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1347 | 1237 | 0.40 |
| 2021/22 | Hibernian FC | Scottish Premiership | CB | 12 | 1009 | 34% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1356 | 1283 | 0.50 |
| 2020/21 | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 6 | 512 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1411 | 1365 | 0.55 |
| 2020/21 | KAS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 1 | 73 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1327 | 1285 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | Sint-Truidense VV | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 7 | 548 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1386 | 1314 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | KAS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 23 | 1949 | 72% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1352 | 1253 | 0.65 |
| 2017/18 | KV Oostende | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 2 | 165 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1371 | 1386 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Hibernian FC | 4 | 420 | 1 | 1 | 1393 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Hibernian FC | 2 | 210 | 1 | 0 | 1391 |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Hibernian FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Scottish Fa Cup | Hibernian FC | 3 | 225 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Hibernian FC | 5 | 266 | 0 | 0 | 1419 |
| 2023/24 | Scottish Fa Cup | Hibernian FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Scottish Fa Cup | Hibernian FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Scottish Fa Cup | Hibernian FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kye Rowles Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 25 | €1.2M | €1.2M | flat |
| Burak Bekaroğlu Super Lig · 2022 | 25 | €900k | €300k | fell |
| Ousmane Coulibaly Super League 1 · 2015 | 26 | €1.3M | €1.0M | fell |
| Danylo Beskorovaynyi Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €900k | €600k | fell |
| Teenage Hadebe Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €850k | €2.0M | rose |
| Manolis Tzanakakis Super League 1 · 2019 | 27 | €600k | €350k | fell |
| Andriy Ponedelnik Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €900k | €800k | flat |
| Robbie Deas Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 24 | €650k | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2022 | Norwich | Hibernian FC | Unknown | €500k |
| 31 May 2022 | Hibernian FC | Norwich | Free / loan | €600k |
| 10 Jan 2022 | Norwich | Hibernian FC | Free / loan | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | KAS Eupen | Norwich | Free / loan | €600k |
| 26 Jan 2021 | Norwich | KAS Eupen | Free / loan | €700k |
| 25 Jan 2021 | KV Mechelen | Norwich | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Norwich | KV Mechelen | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Sint-Truiden | Norwich | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 7 Jan 2020 | Norwich | Sint-Truiden | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 6 Jan 2020 | Blackpool | Norwich | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 1 Aug 2019 | Norwich | Blackpool | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 8 Jul 2019 | KV Oostende | Norwich | Unknown | €1.2M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | KAS Eupen | KV Oostende | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 22 Aug 2018 | KV Oostende | KAS Eupen | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | KV Oostende U21 | KV Oostende | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.