Maksim Borisko

26 yrs · Goalkeeper · Russia
FK Baltika · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 196 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 10 Jun 2028
Market value
€2.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€832k – €2.5M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€680k – €1.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.0M – €3.4M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.8M – €1.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€832k – €2.5M
Model value (performance-implied)€680k – €1.9M
Projected value (24 months)€1.0M – €3.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Maksim Borisko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-3.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 79

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average34.6th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.4 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.5M vs market €2.0M
Expected appreciationNeutral-1% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.56
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2070 (77% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.00
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
35 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.56 (rank 10)
Team strength (Elo)
1326
Opponent strength
1341
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.0M – €3.4M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -16% (IQR -65% to +7%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
63 (all positions)
Relative output kept
61%–143%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
60%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FK BaltikaPremier LigaGK23207077%000.000.00134113260.56
2023/24FK BaltikaPremier LigaGK31767%000.000.00134511870.49

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2023/24Russian CupFK Baltika436000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Hervé Koffi
Jupiler Pro League · 2023
27€1.5M€1.2Mfell
Louis Bostyn
Jupiler Pro League · 2021
28€1.4M€300kfell
Vaná Alves
Liga Portugal · 2017
26€900k€800kflat
Gaëtan Coucke
Jupiler Pro League · 2023
25€1.5M€2.5Mrose
Ivan Lomaev
Premier Liga · 2024
25€2.0M€2.0Mflat
Thomas Didillon-Hödl
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
27€1.3M€500kfell
Mika
Liga Portugal · 2016
25€1.5M€2.0Mrose
Martin Hansen
Eredivisie · 2018
28€1.3M€325kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2019UrozhayBaltikaFree / loan€125k
20 Jul 2018Kuban 2UrozhayFree / loan€25k
1 Jan 2017Kuban IIKuban 2UnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2016SSh FootballKuban IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011Krasnodar U17SSh FootballFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.