Mohamad Sylla
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mohamad Sylla's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.90x the positional average in the league (1930 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 8.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €61k vs market €75k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1930 (65% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.05
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 8 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 981
- Opponent strength
- 1252
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €37k – €103k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 21 pts; changed club; team strength down (-141 Elo); relative output up 201% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -28% (IQR -61% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 10 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–107%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 80%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | DM | 29 | 1930 | 65% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 1252 | 981 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | Dundee FC | Scottish Premiership | DM | 32 | 2560 | 86% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1263 | 1122 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | Dundee FC | Scottish Premiership | DM | 20 | 1296 | 44% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.13 | 1238 | 1153 | 0.34 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Scottish Fa Cup | Dundee FC | 3 | 154 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Scottish Fa Cup | Dundee FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Koné Super League 1 · 2019 | 32 | €250k | €150k | fell |
| Scott Pittman Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 32 | €300k | €50k | fell |
| Yegor Kartushov Premier Liga · 2023 | 32 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Alfredo Mejía Super League 1 · 2023 | 33 | €250k | €100k | fell |
| Darian Mackinnon Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 34 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Georgios Valerianos Super League 1 · 2023 | 31 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| Yaroslav Martynyuk Premier Liga · 2023 | 34 | €200k | €75k | fell |
| Nicolás Martínez Super League 1 · 2022 | 35 | €150k | €150k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Livingston FC | Without Club | Unknown | €75k |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Dundee FC | Livingston FC | Free / loan | €125k |
| 25 Aug 2023 | Hartlepool | Dundee FC | Unknown | €150k |
| 4 Aug 2022 | Aldershot | Hartlepool | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Without Club | Aldershot | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Stade Lavallois | Without Club | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Oldham Athletic | Stade Lavallois | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 5 Jan 2019 | Entente SSG | Oldham Athletic | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Unknown | Entente SSG | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.