Oliver Antman
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Oliver Antman's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-2.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.7M-4.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.4M-4.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.90x the positional average in the league (574 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 38.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €3.1M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -32% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 574 (19% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.63
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.35
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 39 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1427
- Opponent strength
- 1139
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.4M – €4.8M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 68 pts; changed club; team strength up (+127 Elo); league level down (-98 Elo); relative output down 46% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -44% (IQR -53% to -17%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 574 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 12 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 75%–114%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 67%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Rangers FC | Scottish Premiership | RW | 14 | 574 | 19% | 1 | 3 | 0.63 | 0.35 | 1139 | 1427 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | RW | 32 | 2422 | 79% | 6 | 15 | 0.78 | 0.75 | 1319 | 1297 | 0.50 |
| 2024/25 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | LW | 3 | 235 | 12% | 1 | 1 | 0.77 | 0.31 | 1278 | 1341 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | RW | 12 | 570 | 29% | 1 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.24 | 1267 | 1444 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | RW | 11 | 674 | 22% | 2 | 1 | 0.40 | 0.55 | 1371 | 1146 | 0.58 |
| 2022/23 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | RW | 16 | 479 | 24% | 2 | 1 | 0.56 | 0.46 | 1283 | 1352 | 0.47 |
| 2021/22 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | RW | 17 | 835 | 42% | 3 | 2 | 0.54 | 0.44 | 1259 | 1231 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | RW | 11 | 197 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 1309 | 1308 | 0.43 |
| 2019/20 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | RW | 4 | 107 | 5% | 1 | 0 | 0.84 | 0.31 | 1132 | 1329 | 0.41 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Rangers FC | 4 | 253 | 0 | 2 | 1512 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Rangers FC | 5 | 179 | 0 | 0 | 1444 |
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Rangers FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 | 345 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Nordsjaelland | 4 | 231 | 0 | 1 | 1441 |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 85 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | 245 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 130 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 165 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alassane Ndao Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €2.7M | €1.3M | fell |
| Dimitrios Pelkas Super Lig · 2022 | 29 | €4.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Aitor Cantalapiedra Super League 1 · 2021 | 25 | €1.5M | €2.5M | rose |
| Sebá Super League 1 · 2016 | 24 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Aboubakar Kamara Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Henry Onyekuru Super Lig · 2020 | 23 | €8.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Umut Bozok Super Lig · 2023 | 27 | €4.2M | €1.4M | fell |
| Fran Navarro Super League 1 · 2024 | 26 | €8.0M | €4.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles | Rangers | €4.4M | €6.0M |
| 13 Aug 2024 | Nordsjaelland | Go Ahead Eagles | €1.2M | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | FC Groningen | Nordsjaelland | Free / loan | €700k |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Nordsjaelland | FC Groningen | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Nordsjaell. U19 | Nordsjaelland | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 31 Aug 2018 | IF Gnistan | Nordsjaell. U19 | €50k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Feb 2018 | TiPS | IF Gnistan | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Legirus U19 | TiPS | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.