Patrick Wimmer
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Patrick Wimmer's performance-implied value at EUR 3.5M-12.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.2M-14.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.0M-15.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.96x the positional average in the league (1634 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 24
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 62.9th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €10.3M vs market €12.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -31% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1634 (53% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.39
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.39
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 63 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1372
- Opponent strength
- 1495
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.0M – €15.4M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-66 Elo); role change AM -> LW.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -12% (IQR -58% to +10%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1634 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | LW | 25 | 1634 | 53% | 4 | 3 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 1495 | 1372 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | AM | 29 | 1782 | 58% | 3 | 4 | 0.35 | 0.39 | 1524 | 1438 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | RW | 14 | 594 | 19% | 2 | 0 | 0.30 | 0.34 | 1465 | 1427 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | RW | 26 | 1665 | 54% | 4 | 8 | 0.65 | 0.49 | 1517 | 1525 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Arminia Bielefeld | Bundesliga | RW | 31 | 2066 | 68% | 3 | 8 | 0.48 | 0.54 | 1534 | 1368 | 1.05 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 135 | 0 | 3 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Austria | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | 299 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 3 | 185 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 120 | 0 | 2 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Víctor Ibarbo Serie A · 2015 | 25 | €8.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Riccardo Orsolini Serie A · 2022 | 25 | €10.0M | €16.0M | rose |
| Antonio Sanabria Serie A · 2022 | 26 | €7.5M | €7.0M | flat |
| Krzysztof Piatek Bundesliga · 2021 | 26 | €15.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Stephy Mavididi Ligue 1 · 2022 | 24 | €10.0M | €11.0M | flat |
| Dany Mota Serie A · 2023 | 25 | €6.0M | €5.0M | flat |
| Josip Brekalo Serie A · 2022 | 24 | €15.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Keito Nakamura Ligue 1 · 2024 | 24 | €9.0M | €10.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Wolfsburg | Hoffenheim | €10.0M | €12.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Arm. Bielefeld | Wolfsburg | €5.0M | €8.0M |
| 10 Aug 2021 | Austria Vienna | Arm. Bielefeld | €700k | €1.5M |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Young Violets | Austria Vienna | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Gaflenz | Young Violets | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | AFW Waidhofen | Gaflenz | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Sitzenberg Yth. | AFW Waidhofen | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.