Nil Coch

28 yrs · Centre-back · Spain
Epicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi · Premier Liga · Foot: left · Height: 184 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2026
Market value
€400k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€108k – €458k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€314k – €755k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€264k – €437k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€143k – €647k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€108k – €458k
Model value (performance-implied)€314k – €755k
Projected value (24 months)€264k – €437k
Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Nil Coch's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 84

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average7.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable28.2 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €240k vs market €400k
Expected appreciationLow-12% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €400k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2309 (86% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.08
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.09
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
8 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1091
Opponent strength
1161
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€264k – €437k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -39% to -10%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
11 (DEF)
Relative output kept
108%–176%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
82%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Epicentr Kamyanets-PodilskyiPremier LigaCB27230986%110.080.09116110910.25

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Jordan McGhee
Scottish Premiership · 2024
28€350k€100kfell
Ilya Putrya
Premier Liga · 2024
26€800k€500kfell
Vladyslav Pryimak
Premier Liga · 2024
28€400k€400kflat
Georgios Kornezos
Super League 1 · 2023
25€400k€350kflat
Praxitelis Vouros
Super League 1 · 2023
28€700k€600kflat
Frederik Möller
Superliga · 2020
27€300k€300kflat
Nikolaos Korovesis
Super League 1 · 2021
30€450k€250kfell
Georgios Mygas
Super League 1 · 2023
29€400k€250kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
23 Jul 2025Pobla de Mafumet CFEpicentrFree / loanData unavailable
1 Oct 2024Without ClubPobla de Mafumet CFUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2024Palencia CristoWithout ClubUnknownData unavailable
6 Aug 2023SD OyonesaPalencia CristoFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2022FC AscóSD OyonesaFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2021CD VitoriaFC AscóFree / loanData unavailable
1 Aug 2020Pobla de Mafumet CFCD VitoriaFree / loanData unavailable
30 Jun 2019FC VilafrancaPobla de Mafumet CFFree / loan€50k
26 Jan 2019Pobla de Mafumet CFFC VilafrancaFree / loan€50k
25 Jan 2019CD BadajozPobla de Mafumet CFFree / loan€50k
1 Sept 2018Pobla de Mafumet CFCD BadajozFree / loan€50k
30 Jun 2018Betis DeportivoPobla de Mafumet CFFree / loan€50k
1 Sept 2017Pobla de Mafumet CFBetis DeportivoFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Nàstic U19Pobla de Mafumet CFUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.