Ibrahim Karamoko
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ibrahim Karamoko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.5M-4.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.3M-4.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.79x the positional average in the league (1510 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 29
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 23.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €2.7M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -23% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1510 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 23 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1341
- Opponent strength
- 1372
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.3M – €4.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +46% (IQR -28% to +132%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1510 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 22 | 1510 | 56% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 1372 | 1341 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 9 | 445 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1380 | 1317 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Standard Liège | 9 | 667 | 0 | 0 | 1382 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Maher Super Lig · 2017 | 24 | €3.0M | €4.0M | rose |
| Moussa Djenepo Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 26 | €3.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Alejandro Pozuelo Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 25 | €1.5M | €6.5M | rose |
| Marko Marin Super Lig · 2016 | 27 | €3.5M | €3.0M | flat |
| Rodrigo Battaglia Liga Portugal · 2015 | 24 | €1.5M | €3.0M | rose |
| Diego Biseswar Super Lig · 2014 | 26 | €2.0M | €3.2M | rose |
| Aytaç Kara Super Lig · 2016 | 23 | €3.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Marshall Munetsi Ligue 1 · 2021 | 25 | €2.5M | €9.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2025 | FC Versailles | Standard Liège | €150k | €250k |
| 30 Aug 2023 | EA Guingamp B | FC Versailles | Free / loan | €150k |
| 8 Jul 2022 | Torino | EA Guingamp B | Unknown | €150k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | RE Virton | Torino | Free / loan | €150k |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Torino | RE Virton | Free / loan | €300k |
| 5 Oct 2020 | Chievo Verona | Torino U19 | Unknown | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Chievo U19 | Chievo Verona | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Chievo U17 | Chievo U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2017 | LOSC Lille Yth. | Chievo U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.