
Marshall Munetsi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Marshall Munetsi's performance-implied value at EUR 3.4M-9.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.3M-15.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.7M-9.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.73x the positional average in the league (1852 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 7
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 78.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €9.1M vs market €15.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -62% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1852 (54% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.39
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.50
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 79 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1440
- Opponent strength
- 1514
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.7M – €9.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 27 pts; changed club; relative output up 50% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -52% to -27%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Paris FC | Ligue 1 | CM | 15 | 978 | 32% | 4 | 2 | 0.55 | 0.50 | 1514 | 1454 | 0.88 |
| 2025/26 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | CM | 13 | 874 | 26% | 1 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 1557 | 1425 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | CM | 19 | 1694 | 55% | 4 | 2 | 0.32 | 0.29 | 1451 | 1357 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | AM | 14 | 1079 | 32% | 2 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.32 | 1540 | 1501 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | CM | 27 | 2178 | 71% | 4 | 4 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 1484 | 1419 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | DM | 34 | 2707 | 79% | 7 | 4 | 0.37 | 0.31 | 1463 | 1425 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | DM | 24 | 1885 | 55% | 5 | 2 | 0.33 | 0.30 | 1452 | 1417 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | DM | 27 | 1928 | 56% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 1441 | 1373 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | DM | 17 | 830 | 33% | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.17 | 1470 | 1451 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2 | 72 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Stade Reims | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1463 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yohan Cabaye Premier League · 2017 | 31 | €15.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| James McArthur Premier League · 2016 | 29 | €7.0M | €6.0M | flat |
| Josuha Guilavogui Bundesliga · 2019 | 29 | €12.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Abdoulaye Doucouré Premier League · 2023 | 30 | €12.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Pascal Groß Premier League · 2019 | 28 | €10.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Zlatko Junuzovic Bundesliga · 2018 | 31 | €5.0M | €3.2M | fell |
| Sam Clucas Premier League · 2018 | 28 | €8.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Ellyes Skhiri Bundesliga · 2022 | 27 | €13.0M | €11.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Paris FC | Wolves | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Wolves | Paris FC | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 3 Feb 2025 | Stade Reims | Wolves | €18.0M | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Orlando Pirates | Stade Reims | Free / loan | €550k |
| 30 Jul 2017 | Baroka FC | Orlando Pirates | Free / loan | €250k |
| 4 Jul 2017 | Orlando Pirates | Baroka FC | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Baroka FC | Orlando Pirates | Free / loan | €200k |
| 13 Jul 2016 | Orlando Pirates | Baroka FC | Free / loan | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | FC Cape Town | Orlando Pirates | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Blue Rangers FC | FC Cape Town | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.