Marshall Munetsi

30 yrs · Central midfielder (also AM, DM) · Zimbabwe
Paris FC · Ligue 1 · Foot: right · Height: 188 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€15.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€6.3M – €15.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€3.4M – €9.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€3.7M – €9.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€12.4M – €3.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€6.3M – €15.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.4M – €9.8M
Projected value (24 months)€3.7M – €9.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Marshall Munetsi's performance-implied value at EUR 3.4M-9.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.3M-15.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.7M-9.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.73x the positional average in the league (1852 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 7

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh78.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €9.1M vs market €15.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-62% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €15.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1852 (54% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.39
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.50
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
79 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 5)
Team strength (Elo)
1440
Opponent strength
1514
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€3.7M – €9.5M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 27 pts; changed club; relative output up 50% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -52% to -27%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Paris FCLigue 1CM1597832%420.550.50151414540.88
2025/26Wolverhampton WanderersPremier LeagueCM1387426%110.210.24155714251.30
2024/25Stade ReimsLigue 1CM19169455%420.320.29145113570.88
2024/25Wolverhampton WanderersPremier LeagueAM14107932%210.250.32154015011.23
2023/24Stade ReimsLigue 1CM27217871%440.330.34148414190.87
2022/23Stade ReimsLigue 1DM34270779%740.370.31146314250.82
2021/22Stade ReimsLigue 1DM24188555%520.330.30145214170.86
2020/21Stade ReimsLigue 1DM27192856%100.050.08144113730.75
2019/20Stade ReimsLigue 1DM1783033%020.220.17147014510.82

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2024/25Fa CupWolverhampton Wanderers27200—
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingStade Reims2210001463

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Yohan Cabaye
Premier League · 2017
31€15.0M€2.0Mfell
James McArthur
Premier League · 2016
29€7.0M€6.0Mflat
Josuha Guilavogui
Bundesliga · 2019
29€12.0M€5.0Mfell
Abdoulaye Doucouré
Premier League · 2023
30€12.0M€7.0Mfell
Pascal Groß
Premier League · 2019
28€10.0M€7.0Mfell
Zlatko Junuzovic
Bundesliga · 2018
31€5.0M€3.2Mfell
Sam Clucas
Premier League · 2018
28€8.0M€4.0Mfell
Ellyes Skhiri
Bundesliga · 2022
27€13.0M€11.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026Paris FCWolvesFree / loan€15.0M
16 Jan 2026WolvesParis FCFree / loan€12.0M
3 Feb 2025Stade ReimsWolves€18.0M€10.0M
1 Jul 2019Orlando PiratesStade ReimsFree / loan€550k
30 Jul 2017Baroka FCOrlando PiratesFree / loan€250k
4 Jul 2017Orlando PiratesBaroka FCFree / loan€200k
30 Jun 2017Baroka FCOrlando PiratesFree / loan€200k
13 Jul 2016Orlando PiratesBaroka FCFree / loan€25k
1 Jul 2016FC Cape TownOrlando PiratesUnknown€25k
1 Jul 2015Blue Rangers FCFC Cape TownUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.