Jessy Deminguet
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jessy Deminguet's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-3.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-1.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-2.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.15x the positional average in the league (2013 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 64
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 46.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.2M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -31% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2013 (66% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.25
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 46 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1225
- Opponent strength
- 1486
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €682k – €2.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -28% (IQR -43% to -14%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | CM | 31 | 2013 | 66% | 2 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.25 | 1486 | 1225 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | Ligue 1 | CM | 18 | 689 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1486 | 1393 | 0.87 |
| 2018/19 | SM Caen | Ligue 1 | CM | 20 | 1273 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1455 | 1286 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | SM Caen | Ligue 1 | CM | 12 | 532 | 16% | 1 | 1 | 0.34 | 0.43 | 1495 | 1299 | 0.85 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Henrique Serie A · 2017 | 28 | €2.5M | €4.5M | rose |
| Salvatore Molina Serie A · 2021 | 29 | €1.3M | €650k | fell |
| Karim Azamoum Ligue 1 · 2018 | 28 | €1.5M | €650k | fell |
| Fernando Alexandre Liga Portugal · 2013 | 28 | €1.5M | €900k | fell |
| Mohamed Larbi Ligue 1 · 2016 | 29 | €1.3M | €800k | fell |
| Leonardo Sernicola Serie A · 2023 | 26 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Paul Seguin Bundesliga · 2022 | 27 | €2.2M | €1.8M | flat |
| Vincent Marchetti Ligue 1 · 2023 | 26 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | R. Strasbourg | FC Metz | Unknown | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | FC Metz | R. Strasbourg | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 10 Jul 2024 | R. Strasbourg | FC Metz | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | SM Caen | R. Strasbourg | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | SM Caen B | SM Caen | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | SM Caen U19 | SM Caen B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | SM Caen U17 | SM Caen U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | SM Caen Jugend | SM Caen U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.