
Oisin McEntee
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Oisin McEntee's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-2.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 92
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 32th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €367k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | High | +25% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2022 (68% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.22
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.19
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 32 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1332
- Opponent strength
- 1208
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €373k – €838k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -68% to -4%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 16 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 90%–275%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 75%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Heart of Midlothian FC | Scottish Premiership | RB | 28 | 2022 | 68% | 2 | 3 | 0.22 | 0.19 | 1208 | 1332 | 0.31 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Watson Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 25 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| Mads Thychosen Superliga · 2021 | 24 | €700k | €1.0M | rose |
| Burak Bekaroğlu Super Lig · 2022 | 25 | €900k | €300k | fell |
| Mykyta Kravchenko Premier Liga · 2022 | 25 | €800k | €600k | fell |
| Alim Öztürk Scottish Premiership · 2016 | 24 | €400k | €100k | fell |
| Kevin García Super League 1 · 2015 | 26 | €700k | €200k | fell |
| Federico Álvarez Super League 1 · 2021 | 27 | €450k | €600k | rose |
| Gavin Gunning Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 23 | €425k | €350k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Walsall | Heart of Midl. | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Newcastle U21 | Walsall | Free / loan | €125k |
| 1 May 2022 | Morton | Newcastle U23 | Free / loan | €125k |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Newcastle U23 | Morton | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Newcastle U18 | Newcastle U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.