
Mykyta Kravchenko
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mykyta Kravchenko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 71
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 30.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €529k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -35% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 954 (35% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 31 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1290
- Opponent strength
- 1178
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €342k – €826k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 47 pts; changed club; relative output down 58% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -62% (IQR -68% to -28%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 954 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | Premier Liga | RB | 14 | 954 | 35% | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 1178 | 1290 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | RB | 27 | 2213 | 82% | 0 | 8 | 0.33 | 0.26 | 1208 | 1309 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | Premier Liga | RB | 14 | 1069 | 40% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 1217 | 1265 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | RB | 13 | 1156 | 43% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1255 | 1191 | 0.38 |
| 2022/23 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | RB | 3 | 78 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1261 | 1433 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | SC Dnipro-1 | Premier Liga | RB | 14 | 1033 | 64% | 0 | 4 | 0.35 | 0.18 | 1245 | 1365 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | RB | 19 | 1670 | 71% | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 1268 | 1336 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | Olimpik Donetsk | Premier Liga | RM | 4 | 304 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1340 | 1221 | 0.54 |
| 2016/17 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | RM | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1299 | 1566 | 0.56 |
| 2014/15 | FK Mariupol | Premier Liga | RB | 1 | 45 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1261 | 1184 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | 4 | 348 | 0 | 0 | 1486 |
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | FK Polissya Zhytomyr | 1 | 120 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1450 |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | SC Dnipro-1 | 2 | 101 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1490 |
| 2016/17 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michalis Bakakis Super League 1 · 2021 | 30 | €900k | €300k | fell |
| Bogdan Mykhaylichenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Gastón Campi Super Lig · 2021 | 30 | €1.2M | €375k | fell |
| Filip Novak Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €2.0M | €600k | fell |
| Denys Miroshnichenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 30 | €900k | €400k | fell |
| Oguz Ceylan Super Lig · 2021 | 31 | €850k | €275k | fell |
| Ömer Ali Şahiner Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €1.7M | €1.1M | fell |
| Mariano Bíttolo Super League 1 · 2017 | 27 | €600k | €800k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2025 | FC Oleksandriya | Polissya | €1.0M | €1.2M |
| 14 Jul 2024 | Dynamo Kyiv | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Polissya | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Dynamo Kyiv | Polissya | Free / loan | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Kolos Kovalivka | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €600k |
| 17 Feb 2023 | Dynamo Kyiv | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | €700k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | SC Dnipro-1 | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €800k |
| 12 Jul 2021 | Dynamo Kyiv | SC Dnipro-1 | Free / loan | €700k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Kolos Kovalivka | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €700k |
| 4 Aug 2020 | Dynamo Kyiv | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | €300k |
| 31 Jul 2020 | Olimpik Donetsk | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Dynamo Kyiv | Olimpik Donetsk | Free / loan | €300k |
| 18 Aug 2019 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Dynamo Kyiv | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 10 Jul 2015 | Illichivets II | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2015 | Illichivets U19 | Illichivets II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2014 | Ilyichivets U17 | Illichivets U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.