Mykyta Kravchenko

29 yrs · Right-back (also RM) · Ukraine
FK Polissya Zhytomyr · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 182 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€1.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€265k – €895k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€623k – €1.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€342k – €826k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€272k – €978k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€265k – €895k
Model value (performance-implied)€623k – €1.2M
Projected value (24 months)€342k – €826k
Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Mykyta Kravchenko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 71

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average30.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €529k vs market €1.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-35% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.2M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
954 (35% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.09
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.11
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
31 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1290
Opponent strength
1178
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€342k – €826k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 47 pts; changed club; relative output down 58% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -62% (IQR -68% to -28%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 954 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
11 (DEF)
Relative output kept
108%–176%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
82%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FK Polissya ZhytomyrPremier LigaRB1495435%010.090.11117812900.25
2024/25FC OleksandriyaPremier LigaRB27221382%080.330.26120813090.28
2023/24FK Polissya ZhytomyrPremier LigaRB14106940%010.080.11121712650.34
2022/23Kolos KovalivkaPremier LigaRB13115643%000.000.06125511910.38
2022/23Dynamo KyivPremier LigaRB3783%000.000.09126114330.38
2021/22SC Dnipro-1Premier LigaRB14103364%040.350.18124513650.45
2020/21Kolos KovalivkaPremier LigaRB19167071%020.110.11126813360.49
2019/20Olimpik DonetskPremier LigaRM430415%000.000.25134012210.54
2016/17Dynamo KyivPremier LigaRM1903%000.000.15129915660.56
2014/15FK MariupolPremier LigaRB1452%000.000.12126111840.54

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingFK Polissya Zhytomyr4348001486
2025/26Ukrainian CupFK Polissya Zhytomyr19000—
2024/25Ukrainian CupFC Oleksandriya112000—
2023/24Ukrainian CupFK Polissya Zhytomyr112001—
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv12001450
2021/22Ukrainian CupSC Dnipro-1210100—
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingKolos Kovalivka1120001490
2016/17Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv12100—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Michalis Bakakis
Super League 1 · 2021
30€900k€300kfell
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko
Premier Liga · 2024
27€2.5M€2.5Mflat
Gastón Campi
Super Lig · 2021
30€1.2M€375kfell
Filip Novak
Super Lig · 2021
31€2.0M€600kfell
Denys Miroshnichenko
Premier Liga · 2024
30€900k€400kfell
Oguz Ceylan
Super Lig · 2021
31€850k€275kfell
Ömer Ali Şahiner
Super Lig · 2021
29€1.7M€1.1Mfell
Mariano Bíttolo
Super League 1 · 2017
27€600k€800krose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
23 Jul 2025FC OleksandriyaPolissya€1.0M€1.2M
14 Jul 2024Dynamo KyivFC OleksandriyaFree / loan€600k
30 Jun 2024PolissyaDynamo KyivFree / loan€600k
1 Jul 2023Dynamo KyivPolissyaFree / loan€600k
30 Jun 2023Kolos KovalivkaDynamo KyivFree / loan€600k
17 Feb 2023Dynamo KyivKolos KovalivkaFree / loan€700k
30 Jun 2022SC Dnipro-1Dynamo KyivFree / loan€800k
12 Jul 2021Dynamo KyivSC Dnipro-1Free / loan€700k
30 Jun 2021Kolos KovalivkaDynamo KyivFree / loan€700k
4 Aug 2020Dynamo KyivKolos KovalivkaFree / loan€300k
31 Jul 2020Olimpik DonetskDynamo KyivFree / loan€300k
1 Jan 2020Dynamo KyivOlimpik DonetskFree / loan€300k
18 Aug 2019Dynamo Kyiv IIDynamo KyivUnknown€300k
1 Jul 2016Dynamo Kyiv U19Dynamo Kyiv IIUnknownData unavailable
10 Jul 2015Illichivets IIDynamo Kyiv U19Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2015Illichivets U19Illichivets IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Aug 2014Ilyichivets U17Illichivets U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Mykyta Kravchenko · MoneyballAI