Ibrahim Sadiq
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ibrahim Sadiq's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.57x the positional average in the league (626 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 27.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -28% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 626 (21% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.29
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.22
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 28 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1393
- Opponent strength
- 1257
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €806k – €2.4M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-73 Elo); relative output down 46% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +3% (IQR -34% to +74%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 626 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | RW | 20 | 626 | 20% | 2 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.22 | 1257 | 1393 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | RW | 19 | 979 | 32% | 6 | 4 | 0.92 | 0.45 | 1232 | 1466 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | RW | 16 | 652 | 21% | 2 | 3 | 0.69 | 0.48 | 1439 | 1441 | 0.48 |
| 2020/21 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | ST | 12 | 422 | 21% | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 0.48 | 1241 | 1308 | 0.43 |
| 2019/20 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | RW | 17 | 858 | 37% | 2 | 1 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 1265 | 1329 | 0.41 |
| 2018/19 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | RW | 4 | 121 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1347 | 1323 | 0.44 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 228 | 3 | 0 | 1390 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 105 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 114 | 0 | 0 | 1559 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 54 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | BK Häcken | 4 | 363 | 3 | 0 | 1338 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | BK Häcken | 4 | 331 | 5 | 2 | 1290 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 67 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 151 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Nordsjaelland | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1250 |
| 2018/19 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson Eduardo Liga Portugal · 2016 | 26 | €2.0M | €4.0M | rose |
| Björn Sigurdarson Superliga · 2015 | 24 | €1.2M | €900k | fell |
| Casimir Ninga Super Lig · 2021 | 28 | €1.3M | €600k | fell |
| Obbi Oulare Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 25 | €1.2M | €300k | fell |
| Bright Osayi-Samuel Super Lig · 2021 | 23 | €3.4M | €7.0M | rose |
| Mitchell van Bergen Eredivisie · 2024 | 25 | €900k | €1.5M | rose |
| Bersant Celina Super Lig · 2023 | 27 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Tim Kleindienst Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 26 | €3.0M | €4.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2023 | Häcken | AZ Alkmaar | €4.0M | €2.0M |
| 18 Feb 2022 | Nordsjaelland | Häcken | Unknown | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Right to Dream | Nordsjaelland | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.