Zaidu Sanusi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Zaidu Sanusi's performance-implied value at EUR 1.1M-4.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-2.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-3.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 70
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 53.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -40% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 995 (33% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.18
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 54 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1594
- Opponent strength
- 1295
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €939k – €3.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -63% (IQR -70% to -26%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 995 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 66 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 57%–168%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | LB | 17 | 995 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.11 | 1295 | 1594 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | LM | 3 | 53 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1301 | 1508 | 0.51 |
| 2023/24 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | LB | 5 | 290 | 9% | 1 | 0 | 0.31 | 0.09 | 1380 | 1628 | 0.58 |
| 2022/23 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | LB | 18 | 1050 | 34% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1422 | 1744 | 0.68 |
| 2021/22 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | LB | 24 | 1712 | 56% | 3 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.08 | 1379 | 1692 | 0.67 |
| 2020/21 | FC Porto | Liga Portugal | LB | 25 | 1800 | 59% | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 1329 | 1680 | 0.61 |
| 2019/20 | CD Santa Clara | Liga Portugal | LB | 24 | 1849 | 60% | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 1415 | 1321 | 0.59 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | FC Porto | 8 | 530 | 0 | 1 | 1523 |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Nigeria | 2 | 103 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | FC Porto | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1547 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | FC Porto | 4 | 308 | 0 | 0 | 1576 |
| 2023/24 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | FC Porto | 1 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1718 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | FC Porto | 8 | 588 | 1 | 0 | 1631 |
| 2022/23 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | FC Porto | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1286 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | FC Porto | 6 | 389 | 0 | 0 | 1737 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | FC Porto | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1572 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | FC Porto | 10 | 868 | 1 | 0 | 1663 |
| 2020/21 | Supercup Candido De Oliveira | FC Porto | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1605 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Márcio Azevedo Premier Liga · 2016 | 30 | €2.5M | €800k | fell |
| Yevgen Makarenko Premier Liga · 2017 | 26 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Ewerton Liga Portugal · 2016 | 27 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Moritz Bauer Scottish Premiership · 2020 | 28 | €1.6M | €400k | fell |
| Michal Kadlec Super Lig · 2015 | 31 | €3.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Kemar Lawrence Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 29 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Artur Jędrzejczyk Premier Liga · 2017 | 30 | €4.0M | €850k | fell |
| Hasan Ali Kaldırım Super Lig · 2015 | 26 | €2.8M | €4.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2020 | Santa Clara | Porto | €4.0M | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Mirandela | Santa Clara | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 8 Aug 2018 | Gil Vicente | Mirandela | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Mirandela | Gil Vicente | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Gil Vicente | Mirandela | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Jega United | Gil Vicente | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.