Ianis Stoica

23 yrs · Left winger · Romania
FC Hermannstadt · Superliga · Foot: right · Height: 180 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€1.5M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€673k – €1.6M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€471k – €831k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€787k – €2.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.1M – €158k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€673k – €1.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€471k – €831k
Projected value (24 months)€787k – €2.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Ianis Stoica's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-0.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-1.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.27x the positional average in the league (1674 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 79

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average11.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable23.6 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.1M vs market €1.5M
Expected appreciationNeutral+2% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.58
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1674 (55% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.32
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.52
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
11 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.58 (rank 23)
Team strength (Elo)
1195
Opponent strength
1335
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€787k – €2.6M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -38% (IQR -45% to -30%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1674 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
58 (ATT)
Relative output kept
71%–130%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
66%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26CF Estrela AmadoraLiga PortugalLW33167455%330.320.52133511950.58

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Aboubakary Koita
Jupiler Pro League · 2021
23€1.2M€700kfell
Marko Scepovic
Jupiler Pro League · 2016
25€1.2M€1.0Mflat
Uche Nwofor
Eredivisie · 2013
22€900k€600kfell
Flamarion
Premier Liga · 2021
25€900k€1.0Mflat
Lazaros Lamprou
Eredivisie · 2019
22€2.0M€900kfell
Isaak Davies
Jupiler Pro League · 2024
23€1.5M€1.0Mfell
Roberts Uldrikis
Eredivisie · 2022
24€1.0M€550kfell
Samuel Armenteros
Eredivisie · 2013
23€1.8M€1.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
28 Jul 2025FC HermannstadtEstrela Amadora€1.3M€2.0M
7 Feb 2024FCSBFC Hermannstadt€500k€1.0M
2 Feb 2024U ClujFCSBFree / loan€1.0M
1 Jan 2023FCSBU ClujFree / loan€900k
30 Jun 2021SlatinaFCSBFree / loan€200k
25 Aug 2020FCSBSlatinaFree / loan€50k
30 Jun 2020MetaloglobusFCSBFree / loan€75k
17 Feb 2020FCSBMetaloglobusFree / loan€75k
15 Feb 2020PetrolulFCSBFree / loan€75k
1 Jul 2019FCSBPetrolulFree / loan€100k
30 Jun 2019D. CalarasiFCSBFree / loan€100k
9 Jan 2019FCSB IID. CalarasiFree / loan€50k
1 Jul 2018FCSB U18FCSB IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2017Freiburg Yth.FCSB U18Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Ploiesti U17Freiburg Yth.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Ianis Stoica · MoneyballAI