
Lazaros Lamprou
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Lazaros Lamprou's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.10x the positional average in the league (1980 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 88
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 14.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €279k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -23% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1980 (85% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.32
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.45
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 15 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1129
- Opponent strength
- 1264
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €375k – €875k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 56 pts; league level up (+40 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -49% (IQR -61% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | Super League 1 | LW | 25 | 1980 | 85% | 5 | 2 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 1264 | 1129 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | Super League 1 | LW | 10 | 680 | 29% | 1 | 2 | 0.40 | 0.55 | 1247 | 1069 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Excelsior Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LW | 28 | 1625 | 53% | 6 | 5 | 0.61 | 0.75 | 1377 | 1142 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Excelsior Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LW | 28 | 1471 | 48% | 4 | 3 | 0.43 | 0.58 | 1343 | 1197 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | LW | 24 | 1765 | 75% | 5 | 2 | 0.36 | 0.54 | 1244 | 1199 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | LW | 8 | 161 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 1222 | 1428 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | LW | 7 | 160 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 1337 | 1251 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | LW | 7 | 316 | 14% | 2 | 1 | 0.85 | 0.31 | 1235 | 1512 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | LW | 24 | 1807 | 59% | 7 | 8 | 0.75 | 0.57 | 1315 | 1239 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | Panionios Athens | Super League 1 | RW | 22 | 1516 | 56% | 5 | 3 | 0.47 | 0.45 | 1252 | 1303 | 0.48 |
| 2016/17 | Iraklis Thessaloniki | Super League 1 | RW | 10 | 544 | 20% | 1 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.61 | 1368 | 1226 | 0.44 |
| 2016/17 | Panionios Athens | Super League 1 | LW | 10 | 254 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 1236 | 1334 | 0.44 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Volou Neos Podosferikos Syllogos | 1 | 69 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Excelsior Rotterdam | 3 | 220 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | Excelsior Rotterdam | 2 | 169 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | 2 | 110 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 3 | 136 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 5 | 195 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | 3 | 205 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panionios Athens | 4 | 333 | 1 | 1 | 1394 |
| 2017/18 | Kypello Elladas | Panionios Athens | 5 | 266 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2016/17 | Kypello Elladas | Iraklis Thessaloniki | 3 | 250 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zinho Gano Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 29 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Tim Matthys Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 31 | €800k | €600k | fell |
| Yuriy Yakovenko Superliga · 2020 | 27 | €650k | €200k | fell |
| Halil Akbunar Super Lig · 2024 | 31 | €1.4M | €600k | fell |
| Stevie May Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 31 | €450k | €125k | fell |
| Levan Shengelia Super League 1 · 2023 | 28 | €750k | €750k | flat |
| Vasilios Mantzis Super League 1 · 2023 | 32 | €450k | €200k | fell |
| Jarchinio Antonia Eredivisie · 2017 | 27 | €600k | €350k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Raków | Volos NFC | Free / loan | €450k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Volos NFC | Raków | Free / loan | €450k |
| 1 Jan 2025 | Raków | Volos NFC | Free / loan | €450k |
| 9 Jul 2024 | Excelsior | Raków | Free / loan | €750k |
| 31 Aug 2022 | PAOK | Excelsior | €450k | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | OFI Crete | PAOK | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 31 Aug 2021 | PAOK | OFI Crete | Free / loan | €900k |
| 31 Dec 2020 | FC Twente | PAOK | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | PAOK | FC Twente | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Fortuna Sittard | PAOK | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 31 Aug 2018 | PAOK | Fortuna Sittard | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Panionios | PAOK | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 31 Jan 2017 | PAOK | Panionios | Free / loan | €350k |
| 4 Jan 2017 | Iraklis | PAOK | €300k | €350k |
| 5 Sept 2016 | Panathinaikos | Iraklis | Free / loan | €300k |
| 13 Mar 2014 | PAO U20 | Panathinaikos | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.