
Jackson Muleka
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jackson Muleka's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-3.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.93x the positional average in the league (2231 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 77
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 17.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.1M vs market €2.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -35% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2231 (73% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.40
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.47
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 18 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1230
- Opponent strength
- 1282
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.2M – €3.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -28% to +6%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | ST | 29 | 2231 | 73% | 6 | 4 | 0.40 | 0.47 | 1282 | 1230 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | ST | 1 | 11 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.39 | 1217 | 1340 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | ST | 30 | 1628 | 48% | 4 | 1 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 1290 | 1336 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | RW | 29 | 1160 | 36% | 5 | 1 | 0.47 | 0.39 | 1282 | 1517 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Kasimpasa | Super Lig | ST | 14 | 1063 | 31% | 12 | 5 | 1.44 | 0.94 | 1240 | 1312 | 0.42 |
| 2021/22 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 19 | 1024 | 33% | 2 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 1369 | 1248 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 19 | 902 | 29% | 7 | 1 | 0.80 | 0.54 | 1327 | 1392 | 0.55 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 6 | 490 | 3 | 0 | 1331 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Standard Liège | 2 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1618 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Standard Liège | 2 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1402 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Figueiredo Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €3.0M | €2.3M | fell |
| Diego Valencia Super League 1 · 2024 | 24 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Adam Buksa Super Lig · 2024 | 28 | €6.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Shapi Suleymanov Super League 1 · 2024 | 25 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Olarenwaju Kayode Super Lig · 2020 | 27 | €2.4M | €3.2M | rose |
| Isaac Mbenza Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 27 | €2.2M | €800k | fell |
| Dino Hotic Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 26 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Makhtar Gueye Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 27 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2025 | Al-Kholood | Konyaspor | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 3 Jul 2025 | Besiktas | Al-Kholood | €1.5M | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Al-Kholood | Besiktas | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 22 Aug 2024 | Besiktas | Al-Kholood | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 7 Jul 2022 | Standard Liège | Besiktas | €3.4M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Kasimpasa | Standard Liège | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 8 Feb 2022 | Standard Liège | Kasimpasa | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 8 Sept 2020 | TP Mazembe | Standard Liège | €2.8M | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Ecofoot Katumbi | TP Mazembe | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.