Hyeok-kyu Kwon
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Hyeok-kyu Kwon's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.85x the positional average in the league (758 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 40.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €869k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +1% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 758 (25% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 40 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1304
- Opponent strength
- 1525
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €485k – €1.7M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level up (+234 Elo); relative output up 89% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -63% to +13%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 758 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | DM | 12 | 758 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1525 | 1304 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Hibernian FC | Scottish Premiership | DM | 21 | 1095 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1225 | 1303 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | St. Mirren FC | Scottish Premiership | CM | 8 | 552 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1223 | 1192 | 0.34 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Scottish Fa Cup | Hibernian FC | 1 | 72 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Scottish Fa Cup | St. Mirren FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cafú Ligue 1 · 2018 | 25 | €1.0M | €1.2M | rose |
| Quentin Boisgard Ligue 1 · 2022 | 25 | €1.8M | €700k | fell |
| Federico Mattiello Serie A · 2020 | 25 | €1.6M | €400k | fell |
| Chris Philipps Ligue 1 · 2018 | 24 | €1.3M | €400k | fell |
| Raman Chibsah Serie A · 2018 | 25 | €1.5M | €900k | fell |
| Florent Mollet Ligue 1 · 2017 | 26 | €1.3M | €9.0M | rose |
| Kalilou Traoré Ligue 1 · 2013 | 26 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Felipe Seymour Serie A · 2013 | 26 | €900k | €1.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2026 | FC Nantes | Karlsruher SC | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 25 Jul 2025 | Celtic | FC Nantes | €250k | €700k |
| 31 May 2025 | Hibernian FC | Celtic | Free / loan | €750k |
| 13 Aug 2024 | Celtic | Hibernian FC | Free / loan | €750k |
| 31 May 2024 | St. Mirren | Celtic | Free / loan | €750k |
| 12 Jan 2024 | Celtic | St. Mirren | Free / loan | €750k |
| 24 Jul 2023 | Busan IPark | Celtic | €1.0M | €550k |
| 7 Sept 2022 | Gimcheon Sangmu | Busan IPark | Free / loan | €500k |
| 8 Mar 2021 | Busan IPark | Gimcheon Sangmu | Free / loan | €425k |
| 17 Jul 2019 | Busan IPark U18 | Busan IPark | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Busan IPark U15 | Busan IPark U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2014 | Busan I Yth. | Busan IPark U15 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.