Lassina Traoré
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Lassina Traoré's performance-implied value at EUR 1.5M-6.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.3M-9.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.8M-9.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.12x the positional average in the league (876 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 44.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €7.0M vs market €7.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -32% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 876 (32% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 1.34
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.57
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 45 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1420
- Opponent strength
- 1155
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.8M – €9.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -29% to -10%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 876 league minutes last season.
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 94%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | ST | 13 | 876 | 32% | 7 | 6 | 1.34 | 0.57 | 1155 | 1420 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | ST | 22 | 809 | 30% | 4 | 5 | 1.00 | 0.54 | 1172 | 1414 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | ST | 16 | 665 | 25% | 4 | 6 | 1.35 | 0.58 | 1252 | 1497 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | ST | 21 | 1053 | 39% | 5 | 4 | 0.77 | 0.41 | 1261 | 1546 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | ST | 7 | 439 | 27% | 6 | 0 | 1.23 | 0.39 | 1224 | 1568 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | ST | 12 | 555 | 18% | 7 | 6 | 2.11 | 0.48 | 1287 | 1722 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | ST | 9 | 348 | 15% | 2 | 2 | 1.03 | 0.30 | 1322 | 1680 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | ST | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 1405 | 1746 | 0.61 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Burkina Faso | 4 | 163 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 94 | 0 | 0 | 1300 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 156 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 143 | 0 | 0 | 1649 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 30 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1541 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 272 | 0 | 0 | 1577 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 243 | 1 | 0 | 1694 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 362 | 1 | 0 | 1468 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 1474 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 5 | 196 | 1 | 2 | 1590 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1628 |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 170 | 2 | 2 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1651 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Onyekuru Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €7.0M | €5.5M | fell |
| Mostafa Mohamed Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €6.5M | €6.0M | flat |
| Kerem Aktürkoğlu Super Lig · 2021 | 23 | €3.5M | €15.0M | rose |
| Rabbi Matondo Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 24 | €3.0M | €900k | fell |
| Ezequiel Ponce Super League 1 · 2024 | 27 | €5.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Luis Palma Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 24 | €4.5M | €4.0M | flat |
| Georges-Kevin N'Koudou Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €5.0M | €3.3M | fell |
| Fashion Sakala Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 26 | €5.5M | €4.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2021 | Ajax | Shakhtar D. | €10.0M | €6.5M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Ajax U21 | Ajax | Unknown | €300k |
| 4 Jan 2019 | Ajax CT Youth | Ajax U21 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Rahimo FC | Ajax CT Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.