Romain Faivre
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Romain Faivre's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-2.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.2M-3.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-3.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.12x the positional average in the league (583 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 45.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 28 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.6M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -46% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 583 (19% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.31
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.25
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 46 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1402
- Opponent strength
- 1446
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.0M – €3.4M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-70 Elo); role change AM -> RM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -54% (IQR -71% to -32%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 583 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AJ Auxerre | Ligue 1 | RM | 10 | 583 | 19% | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | 0.25 | 1446 | 1402 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | AM | 20 | 899 | 29% | 3 | 2 | 0.50 | 0.42 | 1403 | 1472 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | RM | 17 | 1453 | 47% | 5 | 1 | 0.37 | 0.34 | 1474 | 1335 | 0.87 |
| 2023/24 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | RM | 5 | 37 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 1690 | 1496 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | RM | 16 | 1252 | 37% | 5 | 3 | 0.58 | 0.53 | 1440 | 1396 | 0.82 |
| 2022/23 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | RM | 10 | 294 | 9% | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | 0.20 | 1381 | 1549 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | RM | 21 | 1800 | 53% | 7 | 5 | 0.60 | 0.49 | 1465 | 1369 | 0.86 |
| 2021/22 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | RM | 14 | 889 | 26% | 3 | 0 | 0.30 | 0.16 | 1411 | 1587 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | LM | 36 | 2902 | 85% | 6 | 5 | 0.34 | 0.31 | 1455 | 1306 | 0.75 |
| 2018/19 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | LM | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1312 | 1396 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 308 | 0 | 0 | 1672 |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Olympique Lyon | 4 | 254 | 0 | 0 | 1654 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maicosuel Serie A · 2014 | 28 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Daniele Galloppa Serie A · 2013 | 28 | €4.0M | €500k | fell |
| Stefano Sturaro Serie A · 2021 | 28 | €4.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Ricardo Álvarez Serie A · 2017 | 29 | €4.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Valerio Verre Serie A · 2022 | 28 | €2.5M | €1.4M | fell |
| Daniel Bessa Serie A · 2021 | 28 | €2.5M | €3.0M | rose |
| Tiberio Guarente Serie A · 2013 | 28 | €2.0M | €400k | fell |
| Eyong Enoh Super Lig · 2014 | 28 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | AJ Auxerre | Bournemouth | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Bournemouth | AJ Auxerre | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Al-Taawoun | Bournemouth | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 10 Sept 2025 | Bournemouth | Al-Taawoun | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Stade Brestois | Bournemouth | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 16 Aug 2024 | Bournemouth | Stade Brestois | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 31 Jan 2024 | FC Lorient | Bournemouth | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 14 Jul 2023 | Bournemouth | FC Lorient | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 13 Jul 2023 | Lyon | Bournemouth | €15.0M | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | FC Lorient | Lyon | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Lyon | FC Lorient | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 31 Jan 2022 | Stade Brestois | Lyon | €15.0M | €15.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Monaco B | Stade Brestois | €400k | €450k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Tours FC U19 | Monaco B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Tours FC U17 | Tours FC U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Racing CFF U17 | Tours FC U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Racing CFF Yth. | Racing CFF U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.