Robert Navarro
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Robert Navarro's performance-implied value at EUR 4.4M-8.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.6M-8.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.7M-7.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.16x the positional average in the league (1293 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 37
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 57.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €5.4M vs market €6.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -19% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1293 (38% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.49
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.46
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 57 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1451
- Opponent strength
- 1479
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.7M – €7.6M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; relative output up 100% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -30% (IQR -68% to +30%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1293 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Athletic Bilbao | Laliga | RW | 32 | 1293 | 38% | 6 | 1 | 0.49 | 0.46 | 1479 | 1451 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | RCD Mallorca | Laliga | RW | 23 | 1286 | 38% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.25 | 1481 | 1415 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Cádiz CF | Laliga | LW | 28 | 1912 | 56% | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.26 | 1501 | 1377 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | AM | 17 | 337 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 1506 | 1604 | 0.98 |
| 2020/21 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | AM | 1 | 35 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 1764 | 1573 | 1.10 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Athletic Bilbao | 7 | 506 | 2 | 2 | 1651 |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Athletic Bilbao | 4 | 185 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Supercopa | Athletic Bilbao | 1 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 1800 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Mallorca | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Supercopa | RCD Mallorca | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1819 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Cádiz CF | 2 | 130 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 5 | 343 | 4 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 4 | 196 | 2 | 2 | 1473 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raúl García Laliga · 2024 | 24 | €4.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Luis Muriel Serie A · 2015 | 24 | €10.0M | €17.0M | rose |
| Khouma Babacar Serie A · 2018 | 25 | €8.0M | €5.2M | fell |
| Chadrac Akolo Bundesliga · 2018 | 23 | €5.0M | €1.6M | fell |
| Keita Baldé Serie A · 2021 | 26 | €8.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Borja Mayoral Laliga · 2022 | 25 | €9.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Firmin Mubele Ligue 1 · 2018 | 24 | €6.0M | €1.6M | fell |
| Alberto Paloschi Serie A · 2013 | 23 | €5.0M | €6.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | RCD Mallorca | Athletic Club | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 29 Aug 2024 | Real Sociedad | RCD Mallorca | €850k | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Cádiz CF | Real Sociedad | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 1 Sept 2023 | Real Sociedad | Cádiz CF | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 7 Aug 2022 | Real Sociedad B | Real Sociedad | Unknown | €3.0M |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Real Sociedad | Real Sociedad B | Unknown | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Real Sociedad B | Real Sociedad | Unknown | €3.0M |
| 2 Sept 2019 | Monaco U19 | Real Sociedad B | €6.0M | Data unavailable |
| 2 Jul 2018 | Barça U16 | Monaco U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Barça Youth | Barça U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | CA Osasuna Yout | Barça Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.