Kamal Sowah
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kamal Sowah's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.58x the positional average in the league (2789 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 96
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 21.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €254k vs market €750k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2789 (91% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.24
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 21 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1118
- Opponent strength
- 1323
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €429k – €1.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 63 pts; role change RM -> LW.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -23% (IQR -60% to +11%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | NAC Breda | Eredivisie | LW | 33 | 2789 | 91% | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 1323 | 1118 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | NAC Breda | Eredivisie | RM | 12 | 860 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1280 | 1125 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 21 | 1227 | 45% | 2 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.34 | 1362 | 1334 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 27 | 1281 | 42% | 0 | 4 | 0.28 | 0.21 | 1305 | 1491 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 9 | 408 | 13% | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 1331 | 1512 | 0.49 |
| 2021/22 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | RW | 8 | 160 | 5% | 0 | 1 | 0.56 | 0.27 | 1288 | 1496 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 34 | 3042 | 99% | 8 | 6 | 0.41 | 0.43 | 1359 | 1268 | 0.55 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | NAC Breda | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 7 | 595 | 2 | 0 | 1661 |
| 2022/23 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1420 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 5 | 299 | 0 | 0 | 1694 |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 32 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mustafa Eskihellaç Super Lig · 2022 | 25 | €900k | €1.4M | rose |
| Nii Plange Liga Portugal · 2016 | 27 | €1.3M | €200k | fell |
| Alexandros Kouros Super League 1 · 2017 | 24 | €450k | €300k | fell |
| Dimitrios Chasomeris Super League 1 · 2016 | 27 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Viv Solomon-Otabor Premier Liga · 2023 | 27 | €500k | €750k | rose |
| Jorge Monteiro Super League 1 · 2017 | 29 | €450k | €400k | flat |
| Joel Nouble Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 27 | €550k | €300k | fell |
| Dever Orgill Super Lig · 2020 | 30 | €900k | €75k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2025 | Club Brugge | NAC Breda | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Standard Liège | Club Brugge | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 6 Sept 2023 | Club Brugge | Standard Liège | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | Club Brugge | Free / loan | €3.5M |
| 31 Jan 2022 | Club Brugge | AZ Alkmaar | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 27 Aug 2021 | Leicester U23 | Club Brugge | €9.0M | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | OH Leuven | Leicester U23 | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 31 Jan 2018 | Leicester U23 | OH Leuven | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jan 2018 | Right to Dream | Leicester U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.