Anthony Descotte

23 yrs · Striker · Belgium
Royal Charleroi Sporting Club · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 180 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: ModerateContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€600k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€220k – €1.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€350k – €884k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€361k – €1.1M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€988k – €663k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€220k – €1.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€350k – €884k
Projected value (24 months)€361k – €1.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€600k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Anthony Descotte's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-1.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.35x the positional average in the league (973 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 66

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average15.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable22.9 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €564k vs market €600k
Expected appreciationNeutral+8% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModeratebreakout probability 19%
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €650k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
973 (32% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.46
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.71
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
16 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1121
Opponent strength
1340
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
19%
Resale range (24m)
€361k – €1.1M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -5% to +36%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 973 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
82 (ATT)
Relative output kept
73%–122%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
61%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC VolendamEredivisieST1488129%410.510.71134011010.43
2025/26Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueST3923%000.000.45126213070.65
2024/25FC UtrechtEredivisieST939913%200.450.44130614090.50
2023/24FC UtrechtEredivisieST62097%000.000.40134113540.48
2022/23Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueST91284%000.000.51136513480.58
2022/23FC UtrechtEredivisieST61063%100.850.46127713920.58
2021/22Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueST81655%010.550.49135313310.49
2020/21Royal Charleroi Sporting ClubJupiler Pro LeagueST1140%000.000.44129213190.55

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingRoyal Charleroi Sporting Club11001341
2024/25Knvb BekerFC Utrecht29300—
2022/23Knvb BekerFC Utrecht11000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Dimitris Emmanouilidis
Superliga · 2022
22€500k€400kfell
Nikolas Agrafiotis
Eredivisie · 2024
24€600k€600kflat
Stephen Buyl
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
22€400k€800krose
Steven Boyd
Scottish Premiership · 2019
22€300k€300kflat
Vasil Shkurtaj
Super League 1 · 2015
23€400k€250kfell
Ahmed Yasser Rayan
Super Lig · 2022
24€1.0M€1.2Mrose
Óscar Estupiñán
Super Lig · 2020
24€800k€3.5Mrose
Elvis Manu
Eredivisie · 2017
24€1.0M€1.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026FC VolendamR Charleroi SCFree / loan€600k
19 Aug 2025R Charleroi SCFC VolendamFree / loan€650k
30 Jun 2025UtrechtR Charleroi SCFree / loan€650k
31 Jan 2023R Charleroi SCUtrechtFree / loan€400k
1 Jul 2021Charleroi U21R Charleroi SCUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2020Charleroi U18Charleroi U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Sept 2019Standard U18Charleroi U18Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2019Anderlecht Yth.Standard U18Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2014RAEC Mons YouthAnderlecht Yth.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.