Nikolaos Christogeorgos
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Nikolaos Christogeorgos's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 77
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 20.5th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €645k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1645 (70% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 21 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1225
- Opponent strength
- 1235
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €470k – €1.5M
Trajectory drivers: league level up (+40 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -38% (IQR -57% to -18%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1645 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–179%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | GK | 19 | 1645 | 70% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1235 | 1225 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | GK | 22 | 1980 | 85% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1279 | 1196 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | Super League 1 | GK | 1 | 90 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1479 | 1173 | 0.42 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | 6 | 538 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gökhan Akkan Super Lig · 2022 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.6M | flat |
| Antonio Donnarumma Super League 1 · 2017 | 27 | €700k | €500k | fell |
| Nordin Bakker Eredivisie · 2024 | 27 | €800k | €350k | fell |
| Guillaume Hubert Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 28 | €750k | €400k | fell |
| Aleksandar Jovanovic Superliga · 2018 | 26 | €500k | €550k | flat |
| Devis Epassy Super League 1 · 2018 | 25 | €600k | €250k | fell |
| Matej Delac Superliga · 2019 | 27 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Cammy Bell Scottish Premiership · 2013 | 27 | €700k | €250k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2023 | Panathinaikos B | OFI Crete | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Panathinaikos | Panathinaikos B | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | PAO U19 | Panathinaikos | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | PAO U17 | PAO U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.