Charles Vanhoutte

28 yrs · Defensive midfielder · Belgium
Union Saint-Gilloise · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 182 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€7.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€4.0M – €7.7M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€3.9M – €9.6M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.9M – €7.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€3.8M – €5.6M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€4.0M – €7.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.9M – €9.6M
Projected value (24 months)€2.9M – €7.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Charles Vanhoutte's performance-implied value at EUR 3.9M-9.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.0M-7.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.9M-7.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.00x the positional average in the league (2229 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 22

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average73.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.8 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €5.7M vs market €7.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-36% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €7.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2229 (73% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.12
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.13
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
74 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1401
Opponent strength
1457
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.9M – €7.2M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-144 Elo); league level up (+72 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +3% (IQR -10% to +14%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26OGC NiceLigue 1DM26177958%020.100.13145713580.88
2025/26Union Saint-GilloiseJupiler Pro LeagueDM545017%010.200.11134715700.65
2024/25Union Saint-GilloiseJupiler Pro LeagueDM24203275%130.180.11136015450.63
2023/24Union Saint-GilloiseJupiler Pro LeagueDM29223483%030.120.10137615890.63
2022/23Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueDM29173857%130.210.19128313730.58
2021/22Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueDM31158552%100.060.09135913050.49
2020/21Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueDM28175457%010.050.09138112280.55

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueOGC Nice7450111501
2025/26Volkswagen SupercupUnion Saint-Gilloise190001552
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueUnion Saint-Gilloise8715021519
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingUnion Saint-Gilloise2180001594
2024/25Volkswagen SupercupUnion Saint-Gilloise190001557
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueUnion Saint-Gilloise5361001555
2023/24Uefa Europa League QualifyingUnion Saint-Gilloise2180001356

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Luca Antonelli
Serie A · 2014
27€7.0M€7.5Mflat
Florent Mollet
Ligue 1 · 2020
29€7.0M€6.0Mflat
Charles Kaboré
Premier Liga · 2015
27€7.0M€7.0Mflat
Santi Comesaña
Laliga · 2023
27€7.5M€8.0Mflat
Ruben Aguilar
Ligue 1 · 2019
26€8.0M€12.0Mrose
Adrien Thomasson
Ligue 1 · 2020
27€6.5M€9.0Mrose
Juraj Kucka
Serie A · 2013
26€7.0M€6.0Mflat
Azor Matusiwa
Ligue 1 · 2024
26€12.0M€11.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Sept 2025Union SGNice€6.0M€6.0M
1 Jul 2023Cercle BruggeUnion SG€1.3M€1.2M
30 Jun 2020AFC TubizeCercle BruggeFree / loanData unavailable
1 Sept 2019Cercle BruggeAFC TubizeFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2018Cercle U21Cercle BruggeUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Cercle U19Cercle U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Cercle U17Cercle U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Cercle YouthCercle U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.