Gjivai Zechiël

22 yrs · Central midfielder (also DM) · Netherlands
FC Utrecht · Eredivisie · Foot: right · Height: 180 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: HighContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€10.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€6.9M – €15.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€878k – €4.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€6.7M – €23.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€14.9M – -€2.0M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€6.9M – €15.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€878k – €4.9M
Projected value (24 months)€6.7M – €23.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Gjivai Zechiël's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-4.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.9M-15.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.7M-23.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.45x the positional average in the league (2811 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 64

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage39.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable22.1 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €10.7M vs market €10.0M
Expected appreciationHigh+21% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentHighbreakout probability 29%
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €10.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2811 (92% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.48
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.32
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
40 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1352
Opponent strength
1301
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
High
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
29%
Resale range (24m)
€6.7M – €23.9M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 50 pts; changed club; role change DM -> CM.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +37% (IQR -31% to +100%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (MID)
Relative output kept
76%–148%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC UtrechtEredivisieCM34281192%870.480.32130113520.43
2024/25Sparta RotterdamEredivisieDM13103134%210.260.19131513000.50
2024/25Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisieCM92528%020.710.14122015650.50
2023/24Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisieCM2261%000.000.09125315930.48

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Utrecht6540121342
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueFC Utrecht7516011493
2025/26Knvb BekerFC Utrecht1400—
2024/25Knvb BekerFeyenoord Rotterdam218000—
2024/25Johan Cruijff SchaalFeyenoord Rotterdam160011659
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueFeyenoord Rotterdam246001606

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Jesper Lindstrøm
Superliga · 2021
21€7.0M€28.0Mrose
Michel Vlap
Eredivisie · 2019
22€8.0M€3.0Mfell
Arsen Zakharyan
Premier Liga · 2022
19€15.0M€18.0Mrose
Ozan Tufan
Super Lig · 2020
25€4.5M€3.8Mflat
Daniil Utkin
Premier Liga · 2022
23€3.5M€6.0Mrose
Evander
Superliga · 2020
22€4.5M€7.0Mrose
Mohamed Diomandé
Superliga · 2023
22€2.5M€8.0Mrose
Jacob Christensen
Superliga · 2023
22€2.5M€800kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026UtrechtFeyenoordFree / loan€10.0M
1 Jul 2025FeyenoordUtrechtFree / loan€4.0M
30 Jun 2025Sparta R.FeyenoordFree / loan€4.0M
4 Feb 2025FeyenoordSparta R.Free / loan€3.5M
1 Sept 2023Feyenoord U21FeyenoordUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2022Feyenoord U18Feyenoord U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2021Feyenoord U17Feyenoord U18UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2020Feyenoord YouthFeyenoord U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2018Sparta YouthFeyenoord YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.