
Mohamed Diomandé
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mohamed Diomandé's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-11.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.5M-8.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.5M-8.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.97x the positional average in the league (1372 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 21
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 64.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €6.1M vs market €7.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -32% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1372 (46% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.26
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.21
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 64 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1427
- Opponent strength
- 1206
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.5M – €8.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 30 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -14% (IQR -33% to +41%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1372 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 10 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–107%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 80%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Rangers FC | Scottish Premiership | CM | 26 | 1372 | 46% | 1 | 3 | 0.26 | 0.21 | 1206 | 1427 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | Rangers FC | Scottish Premiership | CM | 31 | 2264 | 76% | 4 | 5 | 0.36 | 0.18 | 1226 | 1463 | 0.34 |
| 2023/24 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | CM | 13 | 951 | 48% | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 0.22 | 1298 | 1444 | 0.48 |
| 2023/24 | Rangers FC | Scottish Premiership | CM | 8 | 525 | 18% | 2 | 0 | 0.34 | 0.13 | 1264 | 1501 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | CM | 22 | 1701 | 86% | 3 | 3 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 1300 | 1352 | 0.47 |
| 2021/22 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | AM | 15 | 1065 | 54% | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.21 | 1297 | 1231 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | CM | 11 | 887 | 45% | 3 | 2 | 0.51 | 0.30 | 1298 | 1308 | 0.43 |
| 2019/20 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | CM | 5 | 325 | 14% | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | 0.19 | 1243 | 1329 | 0.41 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Rangers FC | 6 | 444 | 0 | 0 | 1466 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Rangers FC | 5 | 340 | 1 | 0 | 1521 |
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Rangers FC | 2 | 107 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Rangers FC | 10 | 792 | 1 | 2 | 1545 |
| 2024/25 | Scottish Fa Cup | Rangers FC | 2 | 148 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Rangers FC | 2 | 147 | 0 | 0 | 1483 |
| 2023/24 | Scottish Fa Cup | Rangers FC | 4 | 311 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | 254 | 0 | 1 | 1425 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Rangers FC | 2 | 169 | 0 | 1 | 1660 |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 1 | 110 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 4 | 297 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 1 | 81 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 165 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Gnezda Cerin Super League 1 · 2024 | 25 | €3.5M | €4.5M | rose |
| Artem Bondarenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 24 | €9.0M | €8.0M | flat |
| Bernard Mensah Super Lig · 2021 | 27 | €3.5M | €2.4M | fell |
| Nicolas Raskin Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 23 | €6.5M | €12.0M | rose |
| Emre Kılınç Super Lig · 2021 | 27 | €5.0M | €2.8M | fell |
| Jens Stage Superliga · 2021 | 25 | €2.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Mert Hakan Yandaş Super Lig · 2021 | 27 | €2.4M | €2.0M | flat |
| Amir Hadziahmetovic Super Lig · 2024 | 27 | €6.5M | €4.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Nordsjaelland | Rangers | €5.0M | €4.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Rangers | Nordsjaelland | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 26 Jan 2024 | Nordsjaelland | Rangers | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 5 Jan 2020 | Right to Dream | Nordsjaelland | Free / loan | €25k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.