Yvann Maçon
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yvann Maçon's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.75x the positional average in the league (800 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 5.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €429k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 800 (34% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.17
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 5 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1129
- Opponent strength
- 1250
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €373k – €744k
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-178 Elo); league level down (-186 Elo); role change RB -> RM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -22% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 800 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Athlitiki Enosi Larisas | Super League 1 | RM | 10 | 800 | 34% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1250 | 1129 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | AS Saint-Étienne | Ligue 1 | RB | 12 | 769 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1459 | 1307 | 0.88 |
| 2021/22 | AS Saint-Étienne | Ligue 1 | RB | 22 | 1535 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1448 | 1321 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | AS Saint-Étienne | Ligue 1 | LB | 6 | 540 | 16% | 1 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.23 | 1430 | 1371 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | AS Saint-Étienne | Ligue 1 | RM | 2 | 96 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 1401 | 1383 | 0.82 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janio Bikel Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Lasha Shergelashvili Super League 1 · 2019 | 27 | €350k | €275k | fell |
| Ben Purrington Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 28 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Cameron McGeehan Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 27 | €650k | €500k | fell |
| Nikola Antic Premier Liga · 2023 | 29 | €900k | €900k | flat |
| Ajdin Hrustic Eredivisie · 2024 | 28 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Yuriy Bavin Premier Liga · 2021 | 27 | €700k | €350k | fell |
| Isaac Osbourne Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 29 | €325k | €325k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Saint-Étienne | AE Larisa | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 5 Jan 2024 | M. Tel Aviv | Saint-Étienne | Free / loan | €1.6M |
| 2 Jul 2023 | Saint-Étienne | M. Tel Aviv | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Paris FC | Saint-Étienne | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 8 Dec 2022 | Saint-Étienne | Paris FC | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 31 Jan 2020 | USL Dunkerque | Saint-Étienne | €450k | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Dunkerque B | USL Dunkerque | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Castelnau U19 | Dunkerque B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Oct 2015 | Castelnau U17 | Castelnau U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.