Adnane Abid
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Adnane Abid's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-2.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.4M-4.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-5.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.92x the positional average in the league (1313 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 46
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 16.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €2.7M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 19% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1313 (49% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.21
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.36
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 17 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1341
- Opponent strength
- 1365
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 19%
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.2M – €5.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +26% (IQR -65% to +97%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1313 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 78 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 72%–126%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 24 | 1313 | 49% | 2 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.36 | 1365 | 1341 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Standard Liège | 10 | 800 | 0 | 4 | 1369 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Gholizadeh Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 23 | €1.5M | €3.7M | rose |
| Lamine Gueye Ligue 1 · 2021 | 23 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Kyan Vaesen Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 22 | €2.0M | €700k | fell |
| Nikolai Baden Frederiksen Eredivisie · 2022 | 22 | €3.5M | €600k | fell |
| Samuel Eduok Super Lig · 2017 | 23 | €1.3M | €1.5M | rose |
| Arbër Zeneli Eredivisie · 2016 | 21 | €1.5M | €5.5M | rose |
| Ivo Rodrigues Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 24 | €1.5M | €2.0M | rose |
| Cyriel Dessers Eredivisie · 2018 | 24 | €1.8M | €3.2M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Patro Eisden | Standard Liège | €1.3M | €800k |
| 12 Jul 2024 | Jong Genk | Patro Eisden | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Genk | Jong Genk | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Jong Genk | Genk | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | KRC Genk U18 | KRC Genk U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | KRC Genk Youth | KRC Genk U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | KAS Eupen Youth | KRC Genk Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.