Aiham Ousou
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Aiham Ousou's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-2.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.4M-3.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.4M-3.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 22
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 42.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.5M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -35% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2495 (92% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 42 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1307
- Opponent strength
- 1389
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.4M – €3.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 18 pts; relative output up 171% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -14% (IQR -40% to +25%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 29 | 2495 | 92% | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1389 | 1307 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 26 | 2018 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1371 | 1315 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Cádiz CF | Laliga | CB | 6 | 429 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1599 | 1377 | 1.00 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | 10 | 900 | 0 | 1 | 1372 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1342 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | BK Häcken | 5 | 436 | 0 | 0 | 1573 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | SK Slavia Prague | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1361 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ömer Bayram Super Lig · 2018 | 27 | €2.0M | €2.8M | rose |
| Paulinho Liga Portugal · 2018 | 27 | €1.5M | €600k | fell |
| Mats Köhlert Eredivisie · 2023 | 25 | €1.5M | €3.5M | rose |
| César Arzo Jupiler Pro League · 2013 | 27 | €2.5M | €1.3M | fell |
| Pawel Bochniewicz Eredivisie · 2021 | 25 | €2.5M | €3.0M | rose |
| Maxime Chanot Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.3M | flat |
| Josué Sá Liga Portugal · 2016 | 24 | €2.5M | €2.2M | flat |
| Uğur Çiftçi Super Lig · 2018 | 26 | €1.8M | €1.1M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2025 | Slavia Praha | R Charleroi SC | €1.8M | €2.2M |
| 31 Dec 2024 | R Charleroi SC | Slavia Praha | Free / loan | €2.2M |
| 31 Jul 2024 | Slavia Praha | R Charleroi SC | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Cádiz CF | Slavia Praha | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 1 Feb 2024 | Slavia Praha | Cádiz CF | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 31 Dec 2023 | Häcken | Slavia Praha | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 31 Aug 2023 | Slavia Praha | Häcken | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 21 Jul 2021 | Häcken | Slavia Praha | €600k | €200k |
| 20 Jul 2021 | GAIS | Häcken | Free / loan | €200k |
| 29 Jan 2021 | Häcken | GAIS | Free / loan | €100k |
| 31 Dec 2020 | AFC Eskilstuna | Häcken | Free / loan | €100k |
| 12 Aug 2020 | Häcken | AFC Eskilstuna | Free / loan | €100k |
| 30 Jul 2018 | BK Häcken U19 | Häcken | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Västra Frölunda | BK Häcken U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Angered MBIK | Västra Frölunda | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.