Dimitrios Tsakmakis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dimitrios Tsakmakis's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 5.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €121k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 756 (32% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 6 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1237
- Opponent strength
- 1257
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €162k – €377k
Trajectory drivers: league level up (+40 Elo); relative output down 57% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -17% (IQR -41% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 756 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | CB | 11 | 756 | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1257 | 1237 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | CB | 9 | 530 | 23% | 1 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 1231 | 1192 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | CB | 16 | 1149 | 49% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1267 | 1205 | 0.42 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 5 | 361 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 3 | 209 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 4 | 360 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorn Vermeulen Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 27 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| Leonidas Argyropoulos Super League 1 · 2017 | 27 | €350k | €250k | fell |
| Rubén García Super League 1 · 2024 | 26 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Mikael Dyrestam Super League 1 · 2019 | 28 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Igor Duts Premier Liga · 2021 | 27 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Pascal Gregor Superliga · 2021 | 27 | €250k | €350k | rose |
| Yasir Subaşı Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Alaaddin Okumuş Super Lig · 2024 | 29 | €300k | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Panachaiki | Atromitos | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Feb 2022 | Without Club | Panachaiki | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Panevezys | Without Club | Unknown | €100k |
| 7 Aug 2021 | PO Neas Triglias | Panevezys | Free / loan | €75k |
| 23 Mar 2021 | OF Ierapetra | PO Triglias | Free / loan | €50k |
| 9 Aug 2020 | Agios Nikolaos | OF Ierapetra | Free / loan | €50k |
| 14 Jan 2020 | Without Club | Agios Nikolaos | Unknown | €50k |
| 12 Sept 2019 | Platanias | Without Club | Unknown | €50k |
| 21 Aug 2018 | Platanias U19 | Platanias | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.