Yasir Subaşı
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yasir Subaşı's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 2.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €84k vs market €100k |
| Expected appreciation | High | +28% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 507 (17% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 2 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1230
- Opponent strength
- 1205
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €89k – €160k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -20% (IQR -40% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 507 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 50 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–191%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 54%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | CB | 12 | 507 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1205 | 1230 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | LM | 5 | 256 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1208 | 1228 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | LM | 9 | 194 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 1347 | 1284 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | LM | 1 | 13 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.42 | 1499 | 1355 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | LB | 15 | 759 | 22% | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 1233 | 1216 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | LB | 13 | 641 | 18% | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 1265 | 1169 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | LB | 21 | 1659 | 54% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 1374 | 1196 | 0.45 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Konyaspor | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1434 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emre Taşdemir Super Lig · 2024 | 29 | €125k | €100k | fell |
| Pavol Farkas Super League 1 · 2016 | 31 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Kyriakos Kivrakidis Super League 1 · 2024 | 32 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Semih Güler Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €150k | €1.0M | rose |
| Baldur Sigurdsson Superliga · 2015 | 30 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Sergey Bryzgalov Premier Liga · 2024 | 32 | €250k | €150k | fell |
| Arghus Super League 1 · 2018 | 30 | €250k | €150k | fell |
| Baris Yardimci Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €250k | €50k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2022 | Kayserispor | Konyaspor | Free / loan | €300k |
| 3 Aug 2019 | Fenerbahçe | Kayserispor | €170k | €250k |
| 11 Jul 2019 | Ümraniyespor | Fenerbahçe | €157k | €250k |
| 1 Aug 2018 | Fenerbahce U21 | Ümraniyespor | €14k | €150k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Sakaryaspor | Fenerbahce U21 | Free / loan | €150k |
| 25 Aug 2017 | Fenerbahce U21 | Sakaryaspor | Free / loan | €100k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | A. Üsküdar 1908 | Fenerbahce U21 | Free / loan | €100k |
| 31 Aug 2016 | Fenerbahce U21 | A. Üsküdar 1908 | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Fenerbahce U19 | Fenerbahce U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Fenerbahce U17 | Fenerbahce U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Fenerbahce U16 | Fenerbahce U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Fenerbahce Yth. | Fenerbahce U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 22 Oct 2010 | Sakaryaspor Yth | Fenerbahce Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.