Tonni Adamsen
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tonni Adamsen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.13x the positional average in the league (1818 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 35
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 24.9th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €789k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -53% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1818 (92% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.55
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.57
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 25 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1213
- Opponent strength
- 1273
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €451k – €1.1M
Trajectory drivers: league level up (+45 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -61% to -30%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 78%–121%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | ST | 22 | 1818 | 92% | 8 | 3 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 1273 | 1213 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | ST | 22 | 1870 | 94% | 10 | 4 | 0.67 | 0.64 | 1310 | 1264 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | ST | 18 | 1052 | 53% | 3 | 3 | 0.51 | 0.57 | 1309 | 1238 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | ST | 18 | 848 | 43% | 7 | 1 | 0.85 | 0.75 | 1323 | 1266 | 0.47 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Silkeborg IF | 4 | 378 | 3 | 0 | 1374 |
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 2 | 173 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 6 | 511 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Silkeborg IF | 2 | 210 | 4 | 0 | 1443 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Silkeborg IF | 2 | 180 | 2 | 0 | 1536 |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 7 | 373 | 4 | 2 | — |
| 2022/23 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 6 | 408 | 3 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Helsingör | 1 | 90 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Silkeborg IF | 1 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1372 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Daly Scottish Premiership · 2013 | 30 | €1.0M | €250k | fell |
| Mats Seuntjens Eredivisie · 2023 | 31 | €1.2M | €550k | fell |
| Riad Bajic Super Lig · 2023 | 29 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Henk Veerman Eredivisie · 2021 | 30 | €1.2M | €500k | fell |
| Lennart Thy Eredivisie · 2024 | 32 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Christian Ramirez Scottish Premiership · 2022 | 31 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Reza Ghoochannejhad Eredivisie · 2017 | 30 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Mamadou Fall Super Lig · 2024 | 33 | €1.2M | €1.2M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Silkeborg IF | Rapid Vienna | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 6 Aug 2022 | FC Helsingør | Silkeborg IF | €200k | €350k |
| 19 Jan 2021 | BK Frem | FC Helsingør | Free / loan | €50k |
| 20 Jul 2018 | Taastrup FC | BK Frem | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Bröndby Youth | Taastrup FC | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.