
Ferran Jutglà
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ferran Jutglà's performance-implied value at EUR 5.8M-13.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.7M-12.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.8M-11.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.47x the positional average in the league (1663 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 14
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 72.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €9.4M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -33% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1663 (49% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.65
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.58
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 73 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1498
- Opponent strength
- 1482
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.8M – €11.2M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level up (+117 Elo); role change ST -> RW; relative output up 67% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -57% to +9%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1663 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | RW | 30 | 1663 | 49% | 9 | 3 | 0.65 | 0.58 | 1482 | 1498 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 27 | 1106 | 41% | 8 | 2 | 0.81 | 0.46 | 1379 | 1552 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 26 | 1230 | 46% | 7 | 1 | 0.59 | 0.46 | 1385 | 1541 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 31 | 1963 | 64% | 13 | 5 | 0.83 | 0.46 | 1288 | 1491 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Celta de Vigo | 12 | 491 | 1 | 0 | 1512 |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 2 | 126 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 12 | 857 | 2 | 2 | 1638 |
| 2024/25 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1589 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 514 | 2 | 2 | 1649 |
| 2022/23 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1420 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robin Hack Bundesliga · 2024 | 26 | €8.0M | €7.0M | flat |
| Riccardo Orsolini Serie A · 2023 | 26 | €12.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Admir Mehmedi Bundesliga · 2019 | 28 | €10.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Hugo Almeida Super Lig · 2013 | 29 | €7.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Serhou Guirassy Bundesliga · 2023 | 27 | €14.0M | €45.0M | rose |
| Cyle Larin Laliga · 2023 | 28 | €8.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Aiden McGeady Premier Liga · 2014 | 28 | €6.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Éder Liga Portugal · 2013 | 26 | €8.0M | €6.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Club Brugge | Celta de Vigo | €5.0M | €8.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Barça Atlètic | Club Brugge | €5.0M | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | RCD Espanyol B | Barcelona B | Free / loan | €150k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Sant Andreu | RCD Espanyol B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 20 Jul 2018 | RCD Espanyol B | Sant Andreu | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Espanyol U19 | RCD Espanyol B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Valencia U19 | Espanyol U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 14 Feb 2018 | Espanyol U19 | Valencia U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 Jan 2018 | St. Andreu U19 | Espanyol U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2017 | Espanyol U19 | St. Andreu U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Bellvitge U19 | Espanyol U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Espanyol U18 | Bellvitge U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2016 | Vic Riuprimer | Espanyol U18 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Espanyol Youth | Vic Riuprimer | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.