Taras Stepanenko

37 yrs · Defensive midfielder · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka · Premier Liga · Foot: left · Height: 181 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€500k
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€112k – €549k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€61k – €183k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€96k – €490k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€488k – €70k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€112k – €549k
Model value (performance-implied)€61k – €183k
Projected value (24 months)€96k – €490k
Dashed line: current market value (€500k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Taras Stepanenko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.99x the positional average in the league (716 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceBelow average20th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable36.9 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €264k vs market €500k
Expected appreciationVery low-27% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €10.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
716 (23% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.13
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
20 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1203
Opponent strength
1283
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€96k – €490k

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-103 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -61% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 716 league minutes last season.
  • ▲Age 37: resale value typically declines.
  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
35 (MID)
Relative output kept
77%–144%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
69%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26EyüpsporSuper LigDM853017%000.000.13128312040.40
2025/26Kolos KovalivkaPremier LigaDM51867%000.000.10116812000.25
2024/25EyüpsporSuper LigDM737011%000.000.09132212290.39
2024/25FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaDM926510%100.340.11119814140.28
2023/24FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaDM20132349%000.000.03125114970.34
2022/23FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaDM26207977%320.220.09127615460.38
2021/22FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaDM13104565%210.260.09126115680.45
2020/21FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaDM18119951%210.230.12131015510.49
2019/20FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaDM18145173%010.060.06133716190.54
2018/19FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaDM19144073%320.310.11133716250.57
2017/18FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaDM18142372%000.000.02131216760.62
2016/17FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaDM27174661%100.050.04135716360.56
2015/16FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaDM18149264%250.420.17134416090.54
2014/15FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaDM22189481%410.240.15137015790.54
2013/14FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaDM18139954%220.260.11140116320.63
2012/13FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaDM18146854%020.120.07138416820.70

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk6120001639
2024/25Ukrainian CupFC Shakhtar Donetsk16700—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk6498011643
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk2155001543
2023/24Ukrainian CupFC Shakhtar Donetsk310800—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk6533001697
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk4334001577
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk4225001763
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingFC Shakhtar Donetsk473001486
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk4291001697
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk190001467
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk6540001696
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk5450101653
2019/20Ukrainian CupFC Shakhtar Donetsk19510—
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk6527001697
2018/19Ukrainian CupFC Shakhtar Donetsk218100—
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk111001599
2017/18Uefa Champions LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk8684011687
2017/18Ukrainian CupFC Shakhtar Donetsk324600—
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk6400201492
2016/17Uefa Champions League QualifyingFC Shakhtar Donetsk2210011440
2016/17Ukrainian CupFC Shakhtar Donetsk319210—
2016/17Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Shakhtar Donetsk2180011454
2015/16Uefa Europa LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk7630101577
2015/16Uefa Champions LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk5410011690
2015/16Uefa Champions League QualifyingFC Shakhtar Donetsk4315001534
2015/16Ukrainian CupFC Shakhtar Donetsk529600—
2014/15Uefa Champions LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk7626101613
2014/15Ukrainian CupFC Shakhtar Donetsk548000—
2013/14Ukrainian CupFC Shakhtar Donetsk439000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Guy Demel
Scottish Premiership · 2016
35€400k€150kfell
Ryan Flynn
Scottish Premiership · 2023
35€250k€100kfell
Kasper Risgaard
Superliga · 2019
36€300k€300kflat
Osmar Ferreyra
Super League 1 · 2017
34€250k€250kflat
Manuel Fernandes
Super Lig · 2021
35€200k€75kfell
Craig Bryson
Scottish Premiership · 2022
36€400k€400kflat
Liam Craig
Scottish Premiership · 2022
36€350k€350kflat
Martin Örnskov
Superliga · 2020
35€150k€150kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026Kolos KovalivkaRetiredUnknown€500k
1 Mar 2026EyüpsporKolos KovalivkaFree / loan€500k
1 Feb 2025Shakhtar D.EyüpsporFree / loan€1.5M
1 Jul 2010Metalurg Z.Shakhtar D.Unknown€1.6M
1 Jul 2007Metalurg-2Metalurg Z.UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2006Torpedo U17Metalurg-2UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.