
Taras Stepanenko
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Taras Stepanenko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.99x the positional average in the league (716 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 20th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 36.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €264k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -27% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 716 (23% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 20 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1203
- Opponent strength
- 1283
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €96k – €490k
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-103 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -61% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 716 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 37: resale value typically declines.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Eyüpspor | Super Lig | DM | 8 | 530 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1283 | 1204 | 0.40 |
| 2025/26 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | DM | 5 | 186 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1168 | 1200 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Eyüpspor | Super Lig | DM | 7 | 370 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1322 | 1229 | 0.39 |
| 2024/25 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | DM | 9 | 265 | 10% | 1 | 0 | 0.34 | 0.11 | 1198 | 1414 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | DM | 20 | 1323 | 49% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1251 | 1497 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | DM | 26 | 2079 | 77% | 3 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.09 | 1276 | 1546 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | DM | 13 | 1045 | 65% | 2 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.09 | 1261 | 1568 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | DM | 18 | 1199 | 51% | 2 | 1 | 0.23 | 0.12 | 1310 | 1551 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | DM | 18 | 1451 | 73% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1337 | 1619 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | DM | 19 | 1440 | 73% | 3 | 2 | 0.31 | 0.11 | 1337 | 1625 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | DM | 18 | 1423 | 72% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1312 | 1676 | 0.62 |
| 2016/17 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | DM | 27 | 1746 | 61% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 1357 | 1636 | 0.56 |
| 2015/16 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | DM | 18 | 1492 | 64% | 2 | 5 | 0.42 | 0.17 | 1344 | 1609 | 0.54 |
| 2014/15 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | DM | 22 | 1894 | 81% | 4 | 1 | 0.24 | 0.15 | 1370 | 1579 | 0.54 |
| 2013/14 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | DM | 18 | 1399 | 54% | 2 | 2 | 0.26 | 0.11 | 1401 | 1632 | 0.63 |
| 2012/13 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | DM | 18 | 1468 | 54% | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 1384 | 1682 | 0.70 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1639 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 67 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 498 | 0 | 1 | 1643 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 155 | 0 | 0 | 1543 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 108 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 533 | 0 | 0 | 1697 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 334 | 0 | 0 | 1577 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 225 | 0 | 0 | 1763 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1486 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 291 | 0 | 0 | 1697 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1467 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1696 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 5 | 450 | 1 | 0 | 1653 |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 95 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 527 | 0 | 0 | 1697 |
| 2018/19 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 181 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1599 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 8 | 684 | 0 | 1 | 1687 |
| 2017/18 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 246 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 400 | 2 | 0 | 1492 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 210 | 0 | 1 | 1440 |
| 2016/17 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 192 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 1454 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 7 | 630 | 1 | 0 | 1577 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 5 | 410 | 0 | 1 | 1690 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 315 | 0 | 0 | 1534 |
| 2015/16 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 5 | 296 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 7 | 626 | 1 | 0 | 1613 |
| 2014/15 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 5 | 480 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guy Demel Scottish Premiership · 2016 | 35 | €400k | €150k | fell |
| Ryan Flynn Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 35 | €250k | €100k | fell |
| Kasper Risgaard Superliga · 2019 | 36 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Osmar Ferreyra Super League 1 · 2017 | 34 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Manuel Fernandes Super Lig · 2021 | 35 | €200k | €75k | fell |
| Craig Bryson Scottish Premiership · 2022 | 36 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Liam Craig Scottish Premiership · 2022 | 36 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Martin Örnskov Superliga · 2020 | 35 | €150k | €150k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka | Retired | Unknown | €500k |
| 1 Mar 2026 | Eyüpspor | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Feb 2025 | Shakhtar D. | Eyüpspor | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Metalurg Z. | Shakhtar D. | Unknown | €1.6M |
| 1 Jul 2007 | Metalurg-2 | Metalurg Z. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Torpedo U17 | Metalurg-2 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.