Alberto Reina
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Alberto Reina's performance-implied value at EUR 1.4M-4.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-1.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.14x the positional average in the league (2480 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 93
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 53.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €790k vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -13% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2480 (73% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.18
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.46
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 53 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1294
- Opponent strength
- 1493
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €939k – €2.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -48% to -14%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Real Oviedo | Laliga | AM | 37 | 2480 | 73% | 4 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.46 | 1493 | 1294 | 0.95 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Real Oviedo | 1 | 56 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Ruiz Laliga · 2024 | 30 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Fernando Alexandre Liga Portugal · 2013 | 28 | €1.5M | €900k | fell |
| Gerard Gumbau Laliga · 2024 | 30 | €3.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Bruno Henrique Serie A · 2017 | 28 | €2.5M | €4.5M | rose |
| Salvatore Molina Serie A · 2021 | 29 | €1.3M | €650k | fell |
| Paul Seguin Bundesliga · 2022 | 27 | €2.2M | €1.8M | flat |
| Fabien Camus Ligue 1 · 2013 | 28 | €2.0M | €1.3M | fell |
| Wissem Ben Yahia Super Lig · 2013 | 29 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2025 | CD Mirandés | Real Oviedo | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | AD Ceuta | CD Mirandés | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Las Palmas Atl. | AD Ceuta | Unknown | €100k |
| 15 Jan 2019 | AD Ceuta | Las Palmas Atl. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | CD Alcalá | AD Ceuta | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Betis U19 | CD Alcalá | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.